Alabama State vs Cincinnati Prediction College Basketball Picks 11/27/24

The Alabama State Hornets are visiting the Cincinnati Bearcats on Wednesday, November 27th at the Fifth Third Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Alabama State Hornets vs Cincinnati Bearcats Prediction.

Cincinnati Bearcats Preview

The Cincinnati Bearcats have a perfect 5-0 record this season and are coming off an 81-58 win at Georgia Tech. The Bearcats are 4-1 against the spread, and 1-4 in over/under, while having a 3-0 home record. 

Offensively, Creighton is averaging 87 points per game, which ranks 30th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 55.4 points per game, which is the 5th-best nationally. The Bearcats have the best field goal percentage in the whole nation with 55.5%, and the 4th-best 3-point percentage, with 44.1%. The Bearcats shoot with 62.9% from the free-throw line (334th), and are grabbing 37.4 rebounds per game (162nd).

Simas Lukosius leads Creighton in scoring with an average of 16.6 points, 3 rebounds and 4 assists, while Jizzle James adds 14 points, 3.6 rebounds and a team-high 5.8 assists.

Alabama State Hornets Preview

The Alabama State Hornets have a 3-3 record this season and are coming off a 78-97 loss in Akron. The Hornets are 2-1-2 against the spread, and 4-1 in over/under, while they have a 0-3 road record. 

Offensively, Alabama State is averaging 82.5 points per game, which ranks 81st in the nation. Defensively, they allow 78.3 points per game (315th). The Hornets shoot with 44.9% from the field (193th), and with 36.3% from beyond the arc (101st). The Hornets shoot with 68.6% from the free-throw line (234th), and are grabbing 37.7 rebounds per game (154th).

CJ Hines leads Alabama State in scoring with an average of 15.7 points, while TJ Madlock adds 14.5 points and a team-high 5.7 rebounds.

Why the Cincinnati Bearcats will win

• Cincinnati has won each of its last 23 night games against non-Conference opponents at Fifth Third Arena.
• Alabama State has lost 55 of its last 59 night games against non-Conference opponents.
• Cincinnati has won the first half in each of its last 10 games.

Why the Alabama State Hornets will win

• Cincinnati has lost each of its last three games at Fifth Third Arena following a road win.
• Alabama State has won each of its last three night games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Alabama State’s last five games against the Big 12 Conference Conference have produced a total of 132 or fewer points.
• Each of Cincinnati’s last four games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 139 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Cincinnati ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (55.5%).
• Cincinnati ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for net rating this season (+47.4).
• Alabama State ranks T45th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.3).

Alabama State Hornets vs Cincinnati Bearcats Prediction

Cincinnati has won both previous meetings against Alabama State, but were 1-1 against the spread. In this Alabama State Hornets vs Cincinnati Bearcats Prediction, Cincinnati is coming as -27 home favorites. Cincinnati has been one of the best teams in the nation so far, with the 30th-best offense and 5th-best defense, as they win by an average of 31.6 points per game. The Bearcats have been shooting lights out this season, being on the top-5 of the nation both in field goal and 3-point percentage. On the other hand, the Hornets are struggling defensively, ranking on the bottom-60 of the nation in points allowed, and that will be a crucial factor against a red-hot offensive team such as Cincinnati. The value here lies with the home team, so pick the Cincinnati Bearcats and lay the points at home.