Virginia vs North Carolina Prediction 10/25/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Virginia Cavaliers and the North Carolina Tar Heels meet in week 9 college football action from Kenan Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Virginia Cavaliers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels prediction.

Virginia Cavaliers Recap

The Virginia Cavaliers come into this game looking to add on to their 22-20 win over Washington State last time out to sit at 6-1 on the year. After this game, Virginia will head on the road for a game against Cal.

Cavaliers Win 5 Straight

Chandler Morris has thrown for 1,607 yards, 11 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 68.7% passing along with 191 rushing yards and 4 TDs on the ground while J’Mari Taylor has rushed for a team-high 512 yards and 8 touchdowns so far this season to lead Virginia on the ground. Harrison Waylee has 253 rushing yards with 5 touchdowns while Xavier Brown has 241 rushing yards and a TD. Trell Harris leads the Cavaliers with 405 receiving yards and 3 TDs on 28 catches while Cam Ross has a team-high 28 grabs for 329 yards and 2 touchdowns. Jahmal Edrine also has 335 receiving yards with a TD while three more Cavaliers have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Devin Neal has a team-high 40 total tackles while Daniel Rickert has a team-high 4.5 sacks this season. As a unit, Virginia has combined for 17 sacks and 6 interceptions so far this season. 

North Carolina Tar Heels Recap

The North Carolina Tar Heels come into this game looking to rebound from a 21-18 loss at the hands of Cal last time out to sit at 2-4 this season. After this game, North Carolina will head on the road for a game against Syracuse.

Tar Heels Drop 3 Straight

Gio Lopez has thrown for 597 yards, 3 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 59.8% passing while Max Johnson has thrown for 378 yards and 2 TDs on 63.9% passing and Demon June leads the Tar Heels with 276 rushing yards and a touchdown. Jordan Shipp has a team-high 22 receptions for 253 yards and 2 touchdowns while three more Tar Heels have 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Khmori House has a team-high 34 total tackles and Andrew Simpson has 33 total tackles and a pair of sacks while Melkart Abou Jaoude has a pair of sacks as well on the year. As a unit, North Carolina’s defense has combined for 8 sacks and 4 interceptions so far this season. 

Virginia Cavaliers @ North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Trends: Week 9

Why the North Carolina Tar Heels will win

• The home team has won seven of Virginia’s last eight games.
• Virginia has lost three of its last four road games.
• North Carolina has covered the spread in each of its last four October home games against AP-ranked teams.
• Virginia has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games in North Carolina.

Why the Virginia Cavaliers will win

• North Carolina has lost each of its last eight October games as a home underdog.
• Virginia has won each of its last five games.
• North Carolina has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven home games against conference opponents.
• Virginia has covered the spread in each of its last five road games in October.
• North Carolina has lost the first half in each of its last four games against conference opponents.
• Virginia has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of Virginia’s last nine October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of North Carolina’s last four October games against AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

North Carolina Tar Heels Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, Davion Gause leads North Carolina for touchdowns (2) this season.

Virginia Cavaliers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 9, Ja’Son Prevard ranks T8th amongst FBS players for interceptions (3) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• North Carolina ranks 135th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (92).
• North Carolina ranks 133rd among FBS teams for yards per game this season (267.7).
• Virginia has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of three points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
• Virginia has played in the equal-highest number of games that went to overtime this season (2).

Virginia Cavaliers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction

I’m on Virginia here. I just think North Carolina is broken and flawed offensively, to the point that I have zero desire to back them here. Virginia out of nowhere is a front-runner in the ACC, and I think the Cavaliers put their best foot forward to keep themselves in the mix and make a statement to the rest of the conference that the ACC goes through them. I’ll roll with Virginia by two scores here.