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Utah State vs Texas A&M Prediction 9/6/2025 Today’s College Football Picks
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Utah State (1-0) vs Texas A&M (1-0)
September 6, 2025 at 12:45 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Texas A&M -29.5 — Over/Under: +54.5
In this article, we will formulate a Utah State vs Texas A&M Prediction for this College Football Week 2 game on Saturday, September 6th at the Kyle Field. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
Texas A&M Aggies Preview
The Aggies are coming off a 42-24 home victory over UTSA in their season opener. Texas A&M outgained their opponents by 401-373 yards. They had 23/36 completed passes, 291 passing yards, 110 rushing yards, with both teams being 0-0 in turnovers. The Aggies went 3-11 in third down efficiency and had 7-50 penalties.
Marcel Reed had 22/34 passes, a team-high 289 passing yards and four touchdowns. Rueben Owens II added a team-high 39 rushing yards, while Mario Craver caught 8 passes for 122 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Taurean York had ten total tackles, six of them solo, while Shemar Turner had one sack. Jaydon Hill had one interception returned for 29 yards.
Utah State Aggies Preview
The Aggies are coming off a 28-16 home victory over UTEP in their season opener. Utah State outgained their opponents by 362-284 yards. They had 19/28 completed passes, 233 passing yards, 129 rushing yards, with turnovers being 0-1. The Aggies went 2-12 in third down efficiency and had 11-73 penalties.
Bryson Barnes had 19/28 passes, a team-high 233 passing yards and one touchdown. Robert Briggs Jr. added a team-high 85 rushing yards, while Josh Sterling caught 6 passes for 72 yards. Defensively, Devin Dye had nine total tackles, four of them solo, while Jaden Hunter had two sacks. Ike Larsen had one interception returned for 12 yards.
Why the Texas A&M Aggies will win
- Texas A&M has won each of its last 11 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Kyle Field.
- Utah State has lost each of its last 11 games as a road underdog.
- Utah State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven road games.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of Utah State’s last six games.
- Texas A&M has won the first quarter in each of its last five games against non-conference opponents.
- Texas A&M has won the first half in each of its last four games against non-conference opponents at Kyle Field.
Why the Utah State Aggies will win
- Texas A&M has lost three of its last four games.
- Utah State has won three of its last four games.
- Texas A&M has failed to cover the spread in each of its last eight games against non-conference opponents.
- The underdog has covered the spread in five of Texas A&M’s last six games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Utah State’s last seven games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of Texas A&M’s last eight games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Texas A&M has won the third quarter in each of its last five games – longest active streak in the FBS.
- Texas A&M ranks T1st among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (100.0).
- Utah State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
- Utah State ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
Utah State vs Texas A&M Prediction
In their only previous meeting back in 2009, Texas A&M won 38-30 at home, not covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.
In this Utah State vs Texas A&M Prediction, Texas A&M is coming in as -29.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 54.5 points. Both teams are coming off victories in their opening games of the season, with Texas A&M failing to cover the spread. Texas A&M was very strong at home last season, with a 6-2 home record, but they struggled to cover spreads, as they were just 3-9 against the spread last season. Utah State was terrible on the road, with a 1-5 record, and they struggled against the spread as well, going for just 4-7-1 last season. Texas A&M will win, but I’m not sure they will cover such a big number. I will take a stab with the Utah State Aggies and the +29.5 points in my back pocket.