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UCF vs Iowa State Prediction College Football Picks 10/19/24
Pick details
Iowa State (6-0) vs UCF (3-3)
October 19, 2024 at 07:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Iowa State -12.5 / UCF +12.5 — Over/Under: 52.5
The Central Florida Knights and the Iowa State Cyclones meet Saturday in college football action from Jack Trice Stadium. Here’s a UCF vs Iowa State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best UCF vs Iowa State pick. We will examine:
The Central Florida Knights’ recent form and player performance
The Iowa State Cyclones’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Central Florida Knights
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Iowa State Cyclones
Recent betting trends in games played between UCF and Iowa State
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the UCF vs Iowa State game
Central Florida Knights Betting Preview
The Knights got off to a 3-0 start this year, taking out New Hampshire 57-3, Sam Houston 45-14, and TCU 35-34 in that trio. Central Florida would lose in their next two games though, versus Colorado 48-21 and Florida 24-13.
In the Cincinnati game, the Knights gave up points in every quarter during a hard-fought loss of 19-13. QB Jacurri Brown logged 207 yards with a TD, and RJ Harvey led the rushing attack on 94 yards off his 17 carries. Kobe Hudson caught seven balls for 114 yards and a TD.
Iowa State Cyclones Betting Preview
Over on the Cyclones’ side, they stormed out of the gate with a 21-3 win over North Dakota before eking out a 20-19 win over Iowa. Game three was a 52-7 blowout win over Arkansas State, then came wins over Houston 20-0 and Baylor 43-21.
Matched up against West Virginia last weekend, the Cyclones scored 14 points in both the second and fourth quarters for a 28-16 win. Rocco Becht threw for 265 yards and a touchdown, but Carson Hansen did most of the heavy lifting on offense with 96 rush yards and three TDs.
Why the Iowa State Cyclones will win
- Iowa State has won 10 of its last 11 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- UCF has lost each of its last four road games in October.
- Iowa State has covered the spread in each of its last five games.
- UCF has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games.
Why the UCF Knights will win
- The road team has won three of UCF’s last four games.
- UCF has covered the spread in four of its last five games against AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Four of Iowa State’s last five October games at Jack Trice Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of UCF’s last five road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
UCF vs Iowa State Prediction
I’m going to stick with Iowa State. The Cyclones pulled off a solid win in hostile territory over West Virginia last Saturday with 394 yards (129 rushing), 5.5 yards per play, 24 first downs, and a nice 9-of-14 on third-down conversions. The defense gave up 9-of-13 on third downs and 23 first downs total but also came up with a couple of interceptions.
As for UCF, they played a sloppy game versus Cincinnati, posting 10 penalties and a couple of lost fumbles. The Knights were still in it until late, however, even with their 5-of-13 on third downs and 26:16 in time of possession. Iowa State is going to be a tougher challenge this weekend and I don’t think UCF will stay close enough to cover.