Arkansas State vs Southern Miss Prediction College Football Picks 10/19/24

In this article, we will formulate an Arkansas State vs Southern Miss prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 19th at M.M. Roberts Stadium in Hattiesburg, Mississippi. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 8 matchup. 

Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview

The Arkansas State Red Wolves are 3-3 (1-1) this year after they lost to Texas State by a score of 41-9 last week. Arkansas State led 3-0 early in the game, but they trailed 17-9 at halftime and they were shut out in the second half in the loss. The Red Wolves were outgained by a total of 591-384, lost the turnover battle 2-0, and went 7-17 on third down in the game. Jaylen Raynor threw for 207 yards and one interception, while Ja’Quez Cross rushed for 117 yards on nine carries. 

Arkansas State also has losses against Michigan and Iowa State, but they do have wins against Central Arkansas, Tulsa, and South Alabama. The Arkansas State offense has scored 19 points per game with 245 passing yards and 106.7 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 32 points per game this season. The Red Wolves have gone 41.8% on third down and 5-7 on fourth down so far this season. Jaylen Raynor has completed 60% of his passes for 1,332 yards, four touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Corey Rucker has caught 31 passes for 473 yards and two scores. 

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Preview

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles are 1-5 (0-2) this season after they lost to ULM by a score of 38-21 in their last game. Southern Miss cut the deficit to 17-14 at the end of the third quarter, but they allowed the first 21 points in the fourth quarter for the loss. The Golden Eagles were outgained by a total of 445-347, lost the turnover battle 2-0, and went 1-13 on third down in the game. Ethan Crawford threw for 165 yards and one interception, while also rushing for 70 yards on 17 carries. 

Southern Miss also has losses against Kentucky, USF, Jacksonville State, and Louisiana, but they do have one win against SELA. The Southern Miss offense has scored 16.3 points per game with 199.7 passing yards and 91.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 32.5 points per game this season. The Golden Eagles have gone 19% on third down and 5-9 on fourth down through six games. Ethan Crawford has completed 40% of his passes for 407 yards and two interceptions, while Larry Simmons has caught 16 passes for 281 yards. 

Why Arkansas State will cover

• Southern Miss has lost seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The favorite has won 11 of Southern Miss’s last 12 games.
• Southern Miss has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six completed games as an underdog.
• The favorite has covered the spread in four of Southern Miss’ last five games at M. M. Roberts Stadium.

Total Points Facts

• Six of Southern Miss’ last seven home games in October have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of Arkansas State’s last seven October games as a road favorite have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Southern Miss ranks 127th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (7.8).
• Southern Miss ranks 125th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (2.5).
• Arkansas State ranks 125th among FBS teams for rushing yards allowed per game this season (228.0).
• Arkansas State ranks 124th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (460.5).

Arkansas State vs Southern Miss Prediction 

Southern Miss comes into this matchup trying to snap their four-game losing streak, but they have not looked very good in any of those four games. Arkansas State battled Michigan tough earlier this year and picked up a win against South Alabama. The Red Wolves have been the better team to start this season and it’s looking like it will be a long season for Southern Miss. Take Arkansas State on the road.