Tulsa vs New Mexico State Prediction 9/6/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

Tulsa and New Mexico State meet Saturday in college football action from Aggie Memorial Stadium. Here’s a Tulsa vs New Mexico State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs New Mexico State Aggies pick. We will examine:

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane recent form and player performance

The New Mexico State Aggies’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Golden Hurricanes

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Aggies

Recent betting trends in games played between Tulsa and New Mexico State

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Tulsa vs New Mexico State game.

Bigger Test for Tulsa?

The first game of the season wasn’t much of a test for Tulsa, and they hope the same can be said here. The Golden Hurricane faced off against Abilene Christian in the first game and they were able to secure the 35-7 victory. The seven points given up were during garage time, and for 3.5 quarters, the defense was quite dominant. As a team, Tulsa had 499 yards of offense, while the Wildcats only had 260. 

Kirk Francis was under center, and he completed 20 of his 31 passes for 218 yards, two touchdowns, and zero interceptions. Dominic Richardson also ran wild and he finished with 20 carries for 142 yards and a touchdown. In this game, Tulsa is going to need the defense to step up again, and really try to put the pressure on. 

Why Tulsa Will Beat New Mexico State

New Mexico State has lost 19 of its last 20 September games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Tulsa has covered the spread in each of its last five road games against non-conference opponents.
New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five home games against non-conference opponents.

Opening Win for New Mexico State

New Mexico State had a tune up for the season against Bryant, but they probably wish their offense would have been a bit more impressive. The defense locked down giving up only three points, but the offense scored 19 points on the way to the win. The Aggies had 227 yards through the air and 78 yards on the ground. They also were only 4/16 on third down and that is something that is going to need to be a whole lot better. Logan Fife was under, and he completed 14 of his 31 passes for 227 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Donovan Faupel was the top wide receiver, and he caught five passes for 99 yards. New Mexico State is going to need the offense to step up. 

Why New Mexico State Will Beat Tulsa

Tulsa has lost each of its last four road games.
New Mexico State has won six of its last eight games against non-conference opponents at Aggie Memorial Stadium.
The underdog has covered the spread in each of New Mexico State’s last five games.
Tulsa has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four road games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Tulsa vs New Mexico State Prediction 

New Mexico State’s offense wasn’t good against a terrible Bryant team, and it’s not going to get any easier against Tulsa. Compare that to Tula who has Kirk Francis under center and he threw for 218 yards and two touchdowns. Tulsa gave up only seven points in the first game, and they aren’t going to give up more than that number here. Tulsa will score at least 24 points, and this will be a comfortable victory. Tulsa wins this game by at least a touchdown. Back Tulsa to win this game and cover the spread.