Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction 11/13/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate a Troy vs Old Dominion prediction for this College Football game on Thursday, November 13th at S.B. Ballard Stadium in Norfolk, Virginia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 12 matchup. 

Troy Trojans Betting Preview

The Troy Trojans are 6-3 (4-1) this year after they lost to Arkansas State by a score of 23-10 in their last game. Troy trailed 17-3 at halftime and only managed seven points in the second half for the loss. The Trojans were out gained by a total of 297-187, went 5-17 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at two in the game. Tucker Kilcrease went 19-34 for 166 yards and one interception, while Tae Meadows rushed 14 times for 48 yards. Tray Taylor led the receivers with two catches for 56 yards in the game. The Troy defense recorded one sack and eight tackles for loss in the defeat. 

Prior to that game, Troy defeated Louisiana by a score of 35-23 and UL-Monroe by a score of 37-14. The Trojans have won five of their last six games and they are currently second in the Sun Belt West standings. Troy has scored 27.0 points per game with 203.1 passing yards and 121.1 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 24.1 points against per game this season. Tucker Kilcrease has thrown for 1,400 yards, nine touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Tae Meadows has rushed for 546 yards and four scores on 113 carries this year. 

Old Dominion Monarchs Betting Preview

The Old Dominion Monarchs are 6-3 (3-2) this season after they defeated UL-Monroe by a score of 31-6 in their last game. Old Dominion led 24-0 at halftime and they cruised to the easy victory in the second half. The Monarchs out gained ULM by a total of 391-293, went 4-13 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Colton Joseph went 12-22 for 231 yards, while also rushing for 72 yards and three scores on 16 carries. Tre’ Brown III led the receivers with five receptions for 83 yards in the win. The ODU defense recorded five sacks and seven tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Old Dominion defeated Appalachian State by a score of 24-21, but did lose to James Madison by a score of 63-27 before that. The Monarchs have won six of their last eight games and they are currently third in the Sun Belt East standings. Old Dominion has scored 31.9 points per game with 250.3 passing yards and 201.4 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 23.4 points against per game this season. Colton Joseph has thrown for 2,231 yards, 19 touchdowns, and nine interceptions, while also leading the ground game with 620 yards and nine scores on 106 carries this season. 

Why the Troy Trojans will win

• Troy has won each of its last three games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Old Dominion has lost five of its last six November games at S.B. Ballard Stadium.
• Old Dominion has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six November games at S.B. Ballard Stadium.
• Troy has covered the spread in 12 of its last 14 road games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Five of Old Dominion’s last six November games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of Troy’s last five games have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Old Dominion ranks 10th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (9.3).
• Old Dominion ranks 11th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (+6.2).
• Troy ranks 4th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+6.0).
• Troy ranks T10th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (10.0).

Troy vs Old Dominion Prediction 

Both of these teams have been pretty solid in the Sun Belt so far this season, so this should be a great game. Old Dominion has had some inconsistencies with their defense, but their offense has been above average. Troy had their winning streak snapped last time out against Arkansas State, but they have scored at least 31 points in four of their last five games. I do think Old Dominion has the edge, especially on their home field, but I think the Troy offense can keep this game close. Take the Trojans and the points.

David Racey's Pick: Troy +11.5