TCU vs Kansas State Prediction 10/11/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

TCU (4-1) vs Kansas State (2-4)

October 11, 2025 at 03:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Kansas State +1.5 — Over/Under: +56.5

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In this article we will formulate a TCU vs Kansas State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 11th at Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, Kansas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 7 matchup. 

TCU Horned Frogs Betting Preview

The TCU Horned Frogs are 4-1 (1-1) this year after they defeated Colorado by a score of 35-21 in their last game. TCU was tied at 14 at halftime and tied at 21 in the fourth, but they scored 14 points in the last six minutes for the cover. The Horned Frogs out gained Colorado by a total of 369-343, went 7-15 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a margin of 4-0 in the game. Josh Hoover went 23-33 for 275 yards and four touchdowns, while Kevorian Barnes rushed 16 times for 48 yards. Eric McAlister led the receivers with four receptions for 65 yards and two touchdowns in the game. The TCU defense recorded two sacks and six tackles for loss in the victory. 

Prior to that win, TCU lost to Arizona State by a score of 27-24, but did beat SMU, Abilene Christian, and North Carolina before that. The Horned Frogs are averaging 41.6 points per game with 311.6 passing yards and 125.6 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 21.4 points against per game this season. Josh Hoover has completed 67.3% of his passes for 1,517 yards, 15 touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Eric McAlister has caught 17 passes for 385 yards and five scores. Kevorian Barnes has led the ground game with 204 yards and one touchdown on 37 carries this year. 

Kansas State Wildcats Betting Preview


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The Kansas State Wildcats are 2-4 (1-2) this season after they lost to Baylor by a score of 35-34 in their last game. Kansas State was tied at 17 at halftime, but they led 31-17 in the third and 34-32 in the fourth, before allowing a late field goal for the loss. The Wildcats out gained Baylor by a total of 506-444, went 8-15 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Avery Johnson went 29-45 for 344 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while also rushing for 72 yards and one score on 10 carries. Jayce Brown led the receivers with four receptions for 106 yards and one touchdown in the loss. The KSU defense recorded one sack and four tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that loss, Kansas State picked up wins against North Dakota and UCF, but did lose to Arizona, Army, and Iowa State. The Wildcats are averaging 29.5 points per game with 227.2 passing yards and 143.3 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 26.8 points against per game this season. Avery Johnson has completed 62.9% of his passes for 1,363 yards, 10 touchdowns, and two interceptions, while also rushing for 209 yards and three scores. Jayce Brown has 29 receptions for 390 yards and three touchdowns this season to lead the receivers. 

TCU vs Kansas State Prediction 

Kansas State comes into this matchup with a 2-4 record on the season, but their last three losses have been by a combined 10 points, so they haven’t been too bad. The Wildcats have been inconsistent on offense this year, but they face a TCU defense that has had some issues. The Horned Frogs may struggle on defense, but they have one of the best passing attacks in the country and Hoover is a great quarterback. This should be another close game, but I am taking TCU, as they continue to find ways to win.

David Racey is 58-44 (57%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!

David Racey's Pick: TCU ML


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