Ohio State Buckeyes defensive tackle John Walker (55) pursues Ball State Cardinals running back TJ Horton (4) during the NCAA football game at Ohio Stadium in Columbus on Sept. 5, 2026.
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Stony Brook vs Ball State Prediction 9/12/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Stony Brook Seawolfs Ball State Cardinals
Team Records 1-1 0-1
Spread +15.5 -115 -15.5 -105
Moneyline +575 -850
Total Over 56.5 (-115) Under 56.5 (-105)
Where Ball State Stadium
When Saturday, September 12, 2026
Time 02:00 PM EDT
TV ESPN+

In this article, we will formulate a Stony Brook vs Ball State Prediction for this College Football Week 2 matchup on Saturday, September 12th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Ball State Cardinals Preview


The Ball State Cardinals have a 0-1 record this season and are coming off a 3-56 road loss to Ohio State, where they were outgained by their opponents 671-165 yards and had 60 total plays. Ball State had 120 passing yards, 45 rushing yards, and 20/37 completed passes. They were 3/14 on third down conversions, had 3-15 penalties and the turnover battle was tied at 1-1.

Keldric Luster led Ball State with 18/33 passes and 89 passing yards. Elijah Jackson had a team-high 20 rushing yards, while Elisha Durham caught one pass for a team-high 26 receiving yards. Defensively, Quentavius Scandrett led the Cardinals with 6 total tackles, 4 of them solo, and Jordan Riley led the team with one sack.

Stony Brook Seawolves Preview


The Stony Brook Seawolves have a 1-1 record this season and are coming off a 32-36 home victory over Lindenwood, where they outgained their opponents 402-364 yards and had 64 total plays. Stony Brook had 298 passing yards, 104 rushing yards, and 27/35 completed passes. The turnover battle was tied at 0-0, they were 3/12 on third down conversions, and had 10-94 penalties. 

Quinn Boyd led Stony Brook with 27/35 passes and 298 passing yards. CJ Hester had a team-high 95 rushing yards on 14 carries, while Seth Sweitzer caught 12 passes for a team-high 157 receiving yards. Defensively, Joseph Garcia led the Seawolves with 13 total tackles, 4 of them solo. 

Stony Brook Seawolves @ Ball State Cardinals Betting Trends: Week 2


Why the Ball State Cardinals will win

  • Ball State has won each of its last 10 games against non-FBS teams.
  • Ball State has covered the spread in each of its last five games as a home favorite.
  • The home team has won the first quarter in seven of Ball State’s last eight games.
  • The favorite has won the first half in 14 of Ball State’s last 15 games.

Why the Stony Brook Seawolves will win

  • Ball State has lost seven of its last eight games against non-conference opponents.
  • Ball State has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games.
  • Ball State has lost the first half in seven of its last eight games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Eight of Ball State’s last nine games in September have gone OVER the total points line.

Ball State Cardinals Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 2, Johnny Thompson Jr. ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Ball State has lost the first quarter in each of its last four games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
  • Ball State has recorded fewer total yards than its opponents in each of its last eight games – longest active streak in the FBS.

Stony Brook vs Ball State Prediction


In this Stony Brook vs Ball State Prediction, Ball State is coming as -13.5 home favorites. Both teams are coming off opposite outcomes in their previous games, with the hosts looking terrible in their season opener on the road, as they got blown out by 53 points, scoring just 3. All three games played by those two teams have gone over the total, with Stony Brook scoring 35 ppg and allowing 36.5. I don’t trust Ball State to cover double digits at home, so I will go over the 57.5 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 57.5

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