Southern Mississippi vs Arkansas State Prediction 11/8/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles and the Arkansas State Red Wolves meet Saturday in college football action from Centennial Bank Stadium. Here’s a Southern Miss vs Arkansas State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Southern Miss vs Arkansas State pick. We will examine:

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles recent form and player performance

The Arkansas State Red Wolves recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Arkansas State Red Wolves

Recent betting trends in games played between Southern Miss and Arkansas State

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Southern Miss vs Arkansas State game

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Preview

Southern Miss went a tepid 2-2 in their first four games of the season, falling versus Mississippi State and Louisiana Tech alongside wins over Jackson State and App State in that quartet. Since then the Golden Eagles have found their groove however, taking out Jacksonville State, Georgia Southern and Louisiana in the next three outings. In the win over the Cajuns, the Golden Eagles went just 2-of-13 on third downs with two turnovers and just 14 first downs but the defense kept the team in the lead with three turnovers and a solid overall effort.

In their latest matchup versus LA-Monroe on October 25, the Eagles held a modest 21-14 lead by the break. Southern Miss ended up scoring in every quarter however—including 14 in each of the final three—during a 49-21 win. QB Braylon Braxton had an 18-of-23 line for 248 yards and four touchdowns while Robert Briggs carried seven times for 55 yards. Matt Jones added 12 totes for 42 yards and a pair of scores on the ground. Tops in receiving was Tychaun Chapman with three catches for 83 yards and a touchdown.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview

Over on the Red Wolves’ side, they were able to open the year with a win over Southeast Missouri State. Arkansas State hit the skids after that however, falling versus Arkansas, Iowa State, Kennesaw State and LA Monroe. The next three were wins over Texas State, South Alabama and Georgia Southern, though. In the 34-24 win over the Eagles on October 25, the Red Wolves amassed 482 yards with 266 rush yards, 29 first downs and 11-of-18 on third down tries but did have two turnovers and nine penalties overall along the way.

Arkansas State kept their winning ways going versus Troy on Saturday. The Red Wolves jumped out to a 17-0 first-quarter lead then added a couple of field goals in the second half for a 23-10 victory in the end. QB Jaylen Raynor put up a 21-of-29 line for 247 yards and two touchdowns while Kenyon Clay had 16 carries for 40 yards as the team’s leading rusher. Tops in receiving was Hunter Summers with four catches for 70 yards and a touchdown.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles @ Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Trends: Week 11

Arkansas State Red Wolves Player Prop Facts
 
 
Heading into Week 11, Chauncy Cobb leads the Sun Belt Conference for receptions (56) this season.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles Player Prop Facts
 
 
Heading into Week 11, JJ Hawkins leads the Sun Belt Conference for forced fumbles (2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts
 
 
Arkansas State ranks 122nd among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (-4.2).
Arkansas State ranks T21st among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (5.0).
Southern Miss ranks T15th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (74.2).
Southern Miss ranks 18th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+5.6).

Southern Miss vs Arkansas State Prediction

I’ll stick with Arkansas State. The Red Wolves slowed way down offensively after their big first quarter in the win over Troy last weekend, eventually gathering just 297 yards, 50 rush yards, 17 first downs and 4-of-13 on third-down tries. Arkansas State also lost a couple of fumbles, but the defense kept them ahead with 187 yards and 5-of-17 allowed on third downs on the other side. The two takeaways didn’t hurt either. The Red Wolves have now won four straight games but a couple of those have been pretty close finishes.

As for Southern Miss, they didn’t have much trouble with LA-Monroe in their last game. The Eagles have scored 38 or more points in three of the last four outings, so the Red Wolves defense has their work cut out for them.