North Carolina vs Wake Forest Prediction 11/15/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The North Carolina Tar Heels and the Wake Forest Demon Deacons meet Saturday in college football action from Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium. Here’s a North Carolina vs Wake Forest prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best North Carolina vs Wake Forest pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Preview

The Tar Heels lost to TCU in their opener this year, then took out Charlotte and Richmond in the next two games. After that came losses to Central Florida, Clemson, Cal and Virginia ahead of a 27-10 road win versus Syracuse. In that matchup the Tar Heels gave up just 147 total yards, 39 pass yards, 12 first downs, 2.9 yards per play and 3-of-12 on third-down tries. The offense went just 4-of-13 on third downs themselves but also gained 425 total yards.

Last weekend versus Stanford, North Carolina had a one-touchdown lead at home heading into the final quarter. After a 12-10 deficit from there, the Tar Heels held on for the win 20-15 in the end. QB Gio Lopez finished with 203 yards and a pair of scores on 18-of-25 passing while leading rusher Davion Gause had 11 carries for 28 yards in the victory. North Carolina’s Jordan Shipp led the receivers with his five catches for 83 yards and a touchdown along the way.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons Betting Preview

Over on the Wake Forest side, they beat Kennesaw State and Western Carolina in their first two games then fell versus NC State and Georgia Tech in the next pair. The Deacons beat Virginia Tech, Oregon State and SMU in the next three, then lost to Florida State. In the 42-7 blowout loss at the hands of the Seminoles on November 1, the Deacons gained just 247 total yards with 3.5 yards per play, 19 first downs, two turnovers and 11 team penalties. The defense gave up 421 yards, 7.4 yards per play and 7-of-11 on third downs on the other side in the defeat.

Matched up against Virginia in a big road game Saturday, the Deacons gave up a field goal in each of the first three quarters but also utilized a second-quarter touchdown of their own to propel the team to an improbable upset road win 16-9 in the end. Robby Ashford threw for just 46 yards on 7-of-16 passing and Demond Claiborne had 75 yards on 25 carries as the top rusher. Ty Clark’s lone 22-yard catch put him atop the receivers in the winning effort.

North Carolina Tar Heels @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons Betting Trends: Week 12

Wake Forest Demon Deacons Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 12, Chris Barnes is one of only 30 players in the FBS to have a kick return touchdown this season.

North Carolina Tar Heels Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Thompson has recorded at least one sack in four consecutive games – longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 12.

Matchup/League Facts

• Wake Forest ranks T5th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (31.6).
• Wake Forest ranks 131st among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (7.3).
• North Carolina ranks 130th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (293.0).
• North Carolina ranks 8th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (7.4).

North Carolina vs Wake Forest Prediction

I’ll go with Wake Forest, so long as they don’t suffer from the proverbial “big-win hangover” this weekend, though. The Deacons weren’t able to get much in the way of offense during their upset victory over Virginia on the road last weekend, with just 203 total yards, 3.2 yards per play, 12 first downs and 5-of-17 on third-down tries. The defense gave up 327 yards on the other side but held strong on third downs (3-of-14) and had three fumble recoveries go their way. It was a nice bounce-back effort after getting drilled 42-7 on the road versus Florida State in their previous game, but Wake has been below 17 points in three straight outings now.

As for UNC, they gained a tepid 253 yards with 13 first downs and 11 team penalties in their five-point home win over Stanford last weekend. The Tar Heels defense came up with a couple of takeaways though, and the Cardinal’s eight penalties didn’t hurt.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -6