Pick details
| MATCHUP | New Mexico State Aggies | Hawai'i Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Spread | +7 -108 | -7 -112 |
| Moneyline | +250 | -310 |
| Total | Over 50.5 (-108) | Under 50.5 (-112) |
| Where | Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, HI | |
| When | Saturday, September 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 11:59 PM EDT | |
| TV | MW+ | |
New Mexico State Aggies Betting Preview
The New Mexico State Aggies lost to Florida State, beat Mercyhurst, and they play New Mexico next. New Mexico State has lost 9 of its last 12 games. Trey Hedden is completing 56.7 percent of his passes for 525 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception. TK King and Brodie Malone-Bradford have combined for 268 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Terrione Graves has 1 reception.
The New Mexico State Aggies’ ground game is averaging 141 yards per contest, and James Jones leads the way with 165 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, New Mexico State is allowing 24 points and 328 yards per game. Nick Session leads the New Mexico State Aggies with 14 tackles, Gabe Peterson has 1.5 sacks, and Sone Aupiu has 1 interception.
Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors Betting Preview
The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors lost to Stanford and UNLV, and they play Wyoming next. The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors haven’t lost 3 straight games since October 2024. Micah Alejado is completing 52.2 percent of his passes for 448 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Kainoa Carvalho and Blaze Kamoku have combined for 164 receiving yards on 12 catches, while Tama Uilata has 8 receptions.
The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors ground game is averaging 82 yards per contest, and DeVon Rice leads the way with 108 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Hawai’i is allowing 29 points and 416 yards per game. Kona Moore leads the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors with 24 tackles, Adam Tomczyk has 1 sack, and Matagi Thompson has 3 interceptions.
Why the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will win
- Hawaii has won each of its last 19 September games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- New Mexico State has lost 12 of its last 13 September road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four road games in September.
- Hawaii has covered the spread in 12 of its last 14 home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- New Mexico State has lost the first half in four of its last five games as an underdog.
Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win
- New Mexico State has covered the spread in five of its last six games.
- Hawaii has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games against teams from New Mexico.
- New Mexico State has won the first half in three of its last four September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Six of Hawaii’s last seven September games at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of New Mexico State’s last five games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 2, Micah Alejado ranks T12th in the league for TD: INT ratio (2.00) this season.
New Mexico State Aggies Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 2, Nick Session ranks T2nd amongst FBS players for interceptions (2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Hawaii ranks 133rd among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (39).
- Hawaii ranks 120th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (82.0).
- New Mexico State ranks T9th among FBS teams for sacks this season (4.0).
- New Mexico State ranks T12th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (14.0).
New Mexico State vs Hawaii Prediction
Hawaii is off to a bit of a disappointing start, but it was an underdog in both games and played respectable teams in Stanford and UNLV. New Mexico State is a drop-off in talent and is a team that can struggle on the defensive side. If there was a game where Hawaii finds its mojo and rights the ship a bit, it would be this one. If Hawaii doesn’t get the job done here, this season will get away quite quickly. Hawaii was supposed to be a contender in the MWC this season. Must win and must look good doing it. I’ll lay the touchdown.
