Navy vs Florida Atlantic Prediction 9/12/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Navy vs Florida Atlantic Prediction for this College Football Week 2 matchup on Saturday, September 12th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Florida Atlantic Owls Preview

The Florida Atlantic Owls have a 0-1 record this season and are coming off a 21-66 road loss to Florida, where they were outgained by their opponents 624-396 yards and had 90 total plays. Florida Atlantic had 276 passing yards, 120 rushing yards, and 34/53 completed passes. They lost the turnover battle by 3-1, were 11/22 on third down conversions, and had 9-88 penalties. 

Caden Veltkamp led Florida Atlantic with 34/53 passes, 276 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Lenard Farrow had a team-high 51 rushing yards, while Kelby Valsin caught 10 passes for a team-high 92 receiving yards. Defensively, Lee Hart Jr. led the Owls with 7 total tackles, 4 of them solo, while Nicholas Fischer recorded one sack. 

Navy Midshipmen Preview

The Navy Midshipmen have a 1-0 record this season and are coming off a 42-15 home victory over Towson, where they outgained their opponents 527-246 yards and had 79 total plays. Navy had 21 passing yards, 506 rushing yards, and 3/6 completed passes. The turnover battle was tied 0-0, were 7/12 on third down conversions, and had 6-55 penalties.

Braxton Woodson led Navy with 3/6 passes and 21 passing yards, while also rushing for a team-high 200 yards and 3 touchdowns. Michael Barrow caught 2 passes for a team-high 11 receivers yards. Defensively, MarcAnthony Parker led the Midshipmen with 9 total tackles, one of them solo, while Marcus Bleazard recorded one sack.

Navy Midshipmen @ Florida Atlantic Owls Betting Trends: Week 2

Why the Florida Atlantic Owls will win

• Florida Atlantic has won five of its last six home openers.
• Navy has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games as a favorite.
• The underdog has covered the spread in four of Navy’s last five games.
• Florida Atlantic has won the first half in 13 of its last 16 September home games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the Navy Midshipmen will win

• Florida Atlantic has lost each of its last 21 September games as an underdog.
• Navy has won each of its last 12 games as a favorite.
• Navy has covered the spread in each of its last six road games in September.
• Florida Atlantic has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six September games as a home underdog.
• The favorite has won the first quarter in each of Florida Atlantic’s last eight games.
• The favorite has won the first half in each of Florida Atlantic’s last eight games.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of Navy’s last nine games in September have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Florida Atlantic’s last four games in September have gone OVER the total points line.

Florida Atlantic Owls Player Prop Facts

• Easton Messer has recorded 50+ receiving yards in seven consecutive games – equal-longest streak in the FBS, heading into Week 2.

Navy Midshipmen Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 2, Michael Barrow ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Florida Atlantic ranks 138th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (66.0).
• Florida Atlantic has lost the first quarter in each of its last four games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.
• Navy ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
• Navy ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (0.0).

Navy vs Florida Atlantic Prediction

In this Navy vs Florida Atlantic Prediction, Navy is coming as -4.5 road favorites. Both teams are coming off opposite outcomes in their opening games of the season, as won Towson easily at home by 27 points and Florida Atlantic got blown out in Florida by 45 points. FAU’s defense looked terrible in their first game and were average at home last season, while Navy’s offense looked good and they were 8-5 against the spread last season, so I expect them to cover the small number on the road. Take Navy by -4.5 in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Navy -4.5