LSU vs Arkansas Prediction College Football Picks 10/19/24

In this article, we will formulate an LSU vs Arkansas prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 19th at Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, Arkansas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 8 matchup. 

LSU Tigers Betting Preview

The LSU Tigers are 5-1 (2-0) this year after they defeated Ole Miss in overtime by a score of 29-26 in their last game. LSU trailed 17-13 at halftime and 23-16 late in the fourth, but they were able to force overtime and get the win. The Tigers were outgained by a total of 465-421, tied the turnover battle at two, and went 6-16 on third down in the game. Garrett Nussmeier threw for 337 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Kyren Lacy caught five passes for 111 yards and one score. 

LSU has also defeated Nicholls, South Carolina, UCLA, and South Alabama during this five-game winning streak, but they did lose to USC by a score of 27-20 in the opener. The LSU offense has scored 37.2 points per game with 337 passing yards and 123.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 37.2 points per game this season. The Tigers have gone 48.7% on third down and 4-8 on fourth down so far this season. Garrett Nussmeier has completed 64.3% of his passes for 1,989 yards, 18 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Kyren Lacy has caught 30 passes for 463 yards and six touchdowns. 

Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview

The Arkansas Razorbacks are 4-2 (2-1) this season after they defeated Tennessee by a score of 19-14 in their last game. Arkansas trailed 14-3 in the third quarter, but they scored the final 16 points in the game for the upset win. The Razorbacks outgained Tennessee by a total of 431-332, tied the turnover battle at zero, and went 6-16 on third down in the game. Taylen Green threw for 266 yards, while Andrew Armstrong caught nine passes for 132 yards. 

Arkansas also has wins over UAPB, UAB, and Auburn, but they do have two losses against Texas A&M and Oklahoma State. The Arkansas offense has scored 33 points per game with 285.3 passing yards and 199 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 19.2 points per game this season. The Razorbacks have gone 52.2% on third down and 6-13 on fourth down through six games. Taylen Green has completed 56.6% of his passes for 1,502 yards, five touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Andrew Armstrong has caught 38 passes for 552 yards. 

Why Arkansas will cover

• Arkansas has won each of its last three home games.
• Arkansas has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games against AP-ranked teams.
• LSU has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why LSU will cover

• LSU has won 21 of its last 22 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Arkansas has lost nine of its last 10 October games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
• LSU has covered the spread in each of its last four October games as a favorite.
• Arkansas has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five home games in October.

Total Points Facts

• Each of LSU’s last four October games as a favorite has gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of Arkansas’ last five October home games against top-10 AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Arkansas ranks T9th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (6.8).
• Arkansas ranks T14th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (10.3).
• LSU ranks T14th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (148).
• LSU ranks T20th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (3.3).

LSU vs Arkansas Prediction 

LSU comes into this game after picking up a huge overtime win over Ole Miss, but Arkansas is coming off of a bye week and just beat Tennessee in their last game. The Razorbacks should have plenty of momentum and they will have the home-field advantage. Arkansas is dealing with an injury to their quarterback, so it will be interesting to see if he can play and if he does, how healthy he actually is. We saw Arkansas really bottle up Tennessee’s offense and I think they can do the same here, while I don’t expect fireworks from their offense. Take the under here. 

David Racey's Pick: Under 55.5