Alabama vs Tennessee Prediction College Football Picks 10/19/24

Tennessee (5-1) vs Alabama (5-1)

Game Info: Saturday, October 19, 2024 at 3:30 pm (Neyland Stadium)

Betting Odds: Tennessee +3 / Alabama -3 --- Over/Under: 56.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Alabama Crimson Tide and Tennessee Volunteers meet Saturday in week 8 college football action at Neyland Stadium. Here’s a Alabama vs Tennessee Prediction. This article will include a Alabama vs Tennessee Pick.

Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview

The Alabama Crimson Tide lost to Vanderbilt, beat South Carolina, and they play Missouri next. Alabama has won 6 of its last 7 road games. Jalen Milroe is completing 72.7 percent of his passes for 1,483 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Ryan Williams and Germie Bernard have combined for 885 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while CJ Dippre has 10 receptions.

The Alabama Crimson Tide ground game is averaging 179.2 yards per contest, and Jam Miller leads the way with 360 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Alabama is allowing 20.8 points and 342.5 yards per game. Jihaad Campbell leads the Alabama Crimson Tide with 51 tackles, Que Robinson has 4 sacks and Keon Sabb has 2 interceptions.

Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview

The Tennessee Volunteers beat Florida, lost to Arkansas, and play Kentucky next. Tennessee has won 18 of its last 19 home games. Nico Iamaleava is completing 65.7 percent of his passes for 1,219 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Dont’e Thornton Jr. and Squirrel White have combined for 525 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Chris Brazzell II has 16 receptions.

The Tennessee Volunteers ground game is averaging 246.2 yards per contest, and Dylan Sampson leads the way with 699 yards and 15 touchdowns. Defensively, Tennessee is allowing 10.7 points and 249.8 yards per game. Keenan Pili leads the Tennessee Volunteers with 29 tackles, Omarr Norman-Lott has 2.5 sacks and Will Brooks has 1 interception.

Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win

  • Tennessee has won nine of its last 10 home games against conference opponents.
  • The team ranked 7th in the AP Poll has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games.
  • Tennessee has covered the spread in four of its last five home games in October.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Alabama's last six October road games against AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Five of Tennessee's last six October games as a home underdog against top-10 AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Tennessee ranks 2nd among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (249.8).
  • Tennessee ranks 4th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (10.7).
  • Alabama ranks 10th among FBS teams for points per game this season (41.7).
  • Alabama ranks T11th among FBS teams for H2 points per game this season (19.2).

Alabama vs Tennessee Prediction

The Tennessee Volunteers have failed to cover 8 of their last 12 games as home underdogs, so I can understand why many would lean toward Bama. Tennessee has been dealing with some injuries, lost to Arkansas, and was nearly upset last week to Florida. With all that said, let's not act like Alabama is lighting the world on fire. The Tide just lost to Vanderbilt and was about 20 yards away from losing to South Carolina. Neyland Stadium is still a tough place to play and despite two shaky weeks, the Vols are still top-10 in scoring offense and scoring defense. Give me the free field goal. 

Randy’s Pick Tennessee +3

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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