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Kentucky vs Georgia Prediction 10/4/2025 Today’s College Football Picks
Pick details
Kentucky (2-2) vs Georgia (3-1)
October 4, 2025 at 12:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Georgia -20.5 — Over/Under: +48.5
Georgia Preview
Georgia has a 3-1 record this season and are sitting on the 7th place of the SEC. They are 0-3-1 ATS, 1-2-1 in Over/Under and have a 2-1 home record and 1-0 away record. The Bulldogs are coming off a 21-24 home loss against Alabama and are playing Auburn and Ole Miss next.Offensively, the Bulldogs average 34.5 points per game, which ranks 47th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 19.5 points per game, which is 43rd. Georgia averages 442.0 total yards per game, with 213.5 rushing yards and 228.5 passing yards per game. They allow 324.0 total yards per game, with 91.3 rushing and 232.8 passing yards per game.
Gunner Stockton leads the Bulldogs with 851 passing yards and 69.7% completed passes. Chauncey Bowers leads the team in rushing yards, with 240, while Colbie Young has a team-high 17 caught passes for 238 receiving yards, and has one touchdown. Defensively, C.J. Allen has a team-high 30 total tackles, 15 of them solo. Chris Cole leads the Bulldogs in sacks, with three, while KJ Bolden has one interception.
Kentucky Preview
Kentucky has a 2-2 record this season and are sitting on the 16th place of the SEC. They are 1-3 ATS, 3-1 in Over/Under and have a 2-1 home record and 0-1 away record. The Wildcats are coming off a 13-35 road loss in South Carolina and are playing Texas and Tennessee next.Offensively, the Wildcats average 27.0 points per game, which ranks 81st in the nation. Defensively, they allow 26.0 points per game, which is 81st. Kentucky averages 347.0 total yards per game, with 188.0 rushing yards and 159.0 passing yards per game. They allow 396.5 total yards per game, with 147.0 rushing and 249.5 passing yards per game.
Cutter Boley leads the Wildcats with 402 passing yards and 53.5% completed passes. Seth McGowan leads the team in rushing yards, with 387, while Kendrick Law has a team-high 13 caught passes for 110 receiving yards, and has zero touchdowns. Defensively, Alex Afari Jr. has a team-high 31 total tackles, 21 of them solo. Tavion Gadson leads the Wildcats in sacks, with three, while Ty Bryant has two interceptions.
Kentucky Wildcats @ Georgia Bulldogs Betting Trends: Week 6
Why the Georgia Bulldogs will win
- Georgia has won each of its last 43 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Kentucky has lost each of its last seven games against conference opponents.
- Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games in October.
- The home team has covered the spread in four of the last five games between Kentucky and Georgia.
- Kentucky has lost the first half in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win
- The team ranked 12th in the AP Poll has lost three of its last four games.
- Georgia has failed to cover the spread in each of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Kentucky has covered the spread in each of its last six games against AP-ranked teams.
- Kentucky has won the first quarter in four of its last five games against conference opponents.
- Georgia has lost the first half in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
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- Seven of Kentucky’s last eight October games against top-15 AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the last six games between Kentucky and Georgia have gone UNDER the total points line.
Georgia Bulldogs Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Josh McCray leads Georgia for touchdowns (3) this season.
Kentucky Wildcats Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 6, Ty Bryant leads the Southeastern Conference for interceptions (2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Georgia ranks T9th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (83.3).
- Georgia ranks T11th among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (+7.0).
- Kentucky ranks 134th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (-7.5).
- Kentucky ranks T134th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (20.0).
Kentucky vs Georgia Prediction
In their previous meeting last season, Georgia won 13-12 on the road. They have won all of their last 10 meetings against Kentucky, but both teams are tied 5-5 ATS in their last 10 meetings. Under is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings.In this Kentucky vs Georgia Prediction, Georgia is coming as -21-point home favorites, with the total set at 48.5 points. Both teams are coming off defeats in their previous matches, and are both struggling against the spread, as they are 0-3-1 and 1-3 ATS this season. I will not lay 21 points with a team that has not covered a single game this season, and have been winning by an average of 15 points. Take Kentucky and the +21 points in this one.