Indiana's Kaelon Black (8) avoids Kennesaw State's Alexander Ford (4) during the Indiana versus Kennesaw State Big Ten football game at Memorial Stadium on Saturday, Sept. 6, 2025.
Rich Janzaruk/Herald-Times / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Kennesaw State vs New Mexico State Prediction 11/8/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

Pick details

Kennesaw State (6-2) vs New Mexico State (3-5)

November 8, 2025 at 04:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: New Mexico State +8.5 — Over/Under: +52.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Kennesaw State vs New Mexico State Prediction for this College Football Week 11 game on Saturday, November 8th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

New Mexico State Aggies Preview

New Mexico State has a 3-5 record this season and is sitting 10th in the CUSA. They are 3-5 ATS, 3-5 in Over/Under and have a 3-1 home record and a 0-4 away record. New Mexico State is coming off a 16-35 road loss against Western Kentucky and will face Tennessee, UTEP and Middle Tennessee State next.

Offensively, New Mexico State averages 21.4 points per game, ranking 112th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 25.4 points per game, which is 78th. New Mexico State averages 301.8 total yards per game (233.4 passing and 68.4 rushing), while allowing 390.5 total yards per game (141.4 rushing and 249.1 passing).

Logan Fife leads New Mexico State with 1,833 passing yards with 54.3% completed passes and 9 touchdowns. Kadarius Calloway leads the team in rushing yards with 286, while Donovan Faupel has a team-high 39 receptions for 476 receiving yards. Defensively, Naeten Mitchell has a team-high 64 total tackles (42 of them solo), while Ezra Christensen leads the team in sacks, with 6.0, and Naeten Mitchell leads the team in interceptions, with 3.

Kennesaw State Owls Preview

Kennesaw State has a 6-2 record this season and is sitting 1st in the CUSA. They are 5-2-1 ATS, 2-6 in Over/Under and have a 5-0 home record and a 1-2 away record. Kennesaw State is coming off a 33-20 home win against UTEP and will face Jacksonville State, Missouri State and Liberty next.

Offensively, Kennesaw State averages 26.2 points per game, ranking 78th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 21.1 points per game, which is 36th. Kennesaw State averages 372.5 total yards per game (217.5 passing and 155.0 rushing), while allowing 391.4 total yards per game (157.8 rushing and 233.6 passing).

Amari Odom leads Kennesaw State with 1,045 passing yards with 69.8% completed passes and 5 touchdowns. Coleman Bennett leads the team in rushing yards with 382, while Gabriel Benyard has a team-high 35 receptions for 494 receiving yards. Defensively, Baron Hopson has a team-high 78 total tackles (33 of them solo), while Elijah Hill leads the team in sacks, with 5.0. Antonio Stevens, Five Hamilton and Kody Jones have one interception each.

Kennesaw State Owls @ New Mexico State Aggies Betting Trends: Week 11


Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win

  • The home team has won nine of Kennesaw State’s last 10 games.
  • New Mexico State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight November games as an underdog.

Why the Kennesaw State Owls will win

  • Kennesaw State has won each of its last six games.
  • New Mexico State has lost six of its last seven games against teams from Georgia.
  • Kennesaw State has covered the spread in each of its last five games.
  • New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in six of its last eight November games as a home underdog.
  • Kennesaw State has won the first half in each of its last four games against conference opponents.
  • Kennesaw State has won the first quarter in three of its last four games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of New Mexico State’s last four home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Six of Kennesaw State’s last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

New Mexico State Aggies Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 11, Ryan Hawk ranks T9th amongst FBS players for made field goals (15) this season.

Kennesaw State Owls Player Prop Facts

  • Heading into Week 11, Gabriel Benyard ranks 1st in the Conference USA for punt return yards (171) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • New Mexico State ranks 136th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (68.3).
  • New Mexico State ranks T132nd among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (2.4).
  • Kennesaw State ranks 129th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (26:55).
  • Kennesaw State ranks 11th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (9.5).

Kennesaw State vs New Mexico State Prediction

In this Kennesaw State vs New Mexico State Prediction, Kennesaw State is coming as -8.5-point road favorites, with the total set at 52.5 points. Both teams have opposite course this season and have been on completely opposite trajectories lately, as the Aggies are 1-5 in their last 6 games, while the Owls have won six straight after losing their first two games of the season. The Owls are also a strong 5-2 against the spread and have both a better offense and defense than the Aggies. The value here lies with the road team, so take Kennesaw State and lay the -8.5 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Kennesaw State -8.5

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