Iowa State vs TCU Prediction 11/8/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate an Iowa State vs TCU prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 8th at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 11 matchup. 

Iowa State Cyclones Betting Preview

The Iowa State Cyclones are 5-4 (2-4) this season after they lost to Arizona State by a score of 24-19 in their last game. Iowa State trailed 17-16 at halftime and only managed three points in the second half for the ugly loss. The Cyclones were out gained by a total of 467-336, went 2-14 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a margin of 3-1 in the game. Rocco Becht went 18-36 for 186 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Carson Hansen rushed 18 times for 113 yards. Chase Sowell led the receivers with six receptions for 85 yards in the loss. The Iowa State defense recorded zero sacks and five tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that game, Iowa State lost to BYU by a score of 41-27 and Colorado by a score of 24-17. The Cyclones have lost four games in a row and they are currently near the bottom of the Big 12 standings. Iowa State has scored 27.9 points per game with 243.6 passing yards and 164.6 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 22.0 points against per game this season. Rocco Becht has thrown for 2,119 yards, 11 touchdowns, and seven interceptions, while Carson Hansen has rushed 113 times for 613 yards and four scores this season. 

TCU Horned Frogs Betting Preview

The TCU Horned Frogs are 6-2 (3-2) this year after they defeated West Virginia by a score of 23-17 in their last game. TCU led 20-7 at halftime and they were able to get the win, despite only scoring three points in the second half. The Horned Frogs out gained West Virginia by a grand total of one yard, went 6-16 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at zero in the game. Josh Hoover went 24-39 for 247 yards and one touchdown, while Trent Battle rushed 19 times for 89 yards and one score. Eric McAlister led the receivers with nine catches for 124 yards and one touchdown in the game. The TCU defense recorded two sacks and five tackles for loss in the win. 

Prior to that game, TCU defeated Baylor by a score of 42-36, but did lose to Kansas State by a score of 41-28 before that. The Horned Frogs have won three of their last four games and they are currently seventh in the Big 12 standings. TCU has scored 34.6 points per game with 301.5 passing yards and 124.0 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 25.1 points against per game this season. Josh Hoover has thrown for 2,371 yards, 22 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Eric McAlister has 37 receptions for 727 yards and eight scores this year. 

Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win

• TCU has won each of its last 10 November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Iowa State has lost each of its last four games.
• TCU has covered the spread in each of its last six November games at Amon G. Carter Stadium.
• Iowa State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games.

Why the Iowa State Cyclones will win

• The underdog has won each of Iowa State’s last three games.
• Iowa State has covered the spread in four of its last five games as an underdog against TCU.

Total Points Facts

• Ten of Iowa State’s last 11 games as an underdog against teams from Texas have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of TCU’s last nine November games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• TCU ranks T126th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (9.3).
• TCU ranks 11th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (301.5).
• Iowa State ranks T25th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (40.0).
• Iowa State ranks T27th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (4.6).

Iowa State vs TCU Prediction 

Iowa State comes into this matchup looking to snap their four game losing streak, but they picked up a bad loss to Arizona State at home last week. TCU has won two games in a row, but they have allowed 36 points or more in two of their last three. The Horned Frogs have a great passing attack with Hoover at quarterback and they should be fine here, but I really don’t like their defense. I think Iowa State will finally find some offense and I like the over here.

David Racey is 104-85 (55%) in College Football this season and is one of the top College Football Handicappers on the site. Click here for his premium plays for the week!

David Racey's Pick: Over 57