Idaho State vs New Mexico Prediction 9/6/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Idaho State vs New Mexico Prediction for this College Football Week 1 game on Saturday, September 6th at the University Stadium (NM). Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

New Mexico Lobos Preview

The Lobos are coming off a 17-34 road defeat in Michigan in their season opener. New Mexico got outgained by their opponents by 452-267 yards. They had 32/48 completed passes, 217 passing yards, 50 rushing yards, with turnovers being 3-1. The Lobos went 5-14 in third down efficiency and had 1-5 penalties.

Jack Layne had 31/47 passes, a team-high 208 passing yards and one touchdown but also threw three interceptions. Scottre Humphrey added a team-high 33 rushing yards, while Dorian Thomas caught 7 passes for 68 yards. The Lobos did not have any interceptions in this game.

Idaho State Bengals Preview

The Bengals are coming off a 24-46 road defeat in Southern Utah in their season opener. Idaho State got outgained by their opponents by 563-361 yards. They had 24/50 completed passes, 338 passing yards, 23 rushing yards, with both teams being 1-1 in turnovers. The Bengals went 4-14 in third down efficiency and had 3-30 penalties.

Jordan Cooke had 23/45 passes, a team-high 334 passing yards and one touchdown but also had one interception. Tytan Mason added a team-high 15 rushing yards, while Michael Shulikov caught 7 passes for 115 yards. The Bengals did not have any interceptions in this game.

Why the New Mexico Lobos will win

• New Mexico has won each of its last eight home openers as a favorite.
• New Mexico has covered the spread in six of its last seven games against non-conference opponents.
• New Mexico has won the first half in six of its last eight home games against non-conference opponents.

Why the Idaho State Bengals will win

• The underdog has won four of New Mexico’s last five games.
• New Mexico has lost five of its last six home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The underdog has covered the spread in each of New Mexico’s last five games.
• New Mexico has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last 10 September games as a home favorite.
• New Mexico has lost the first half in four of its last five games against non-conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• New Mexico ranks T131st among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (-14.0).
• New Mexico ranks T129th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (14.0).

Idaho State vs New Mexico Prediction

This will be the first meeting between those two teams. Both teams are coming off defeats in their opening games of the season, losing by 17 and 22 points respectively. The Lobos were 2-3 at home last season and 7-5 against the spread, while the Bengals were 2-4 on the road. the Lobos had a much tougher competition and are now playing their first game of the season in front of their home crowd, so I expect them to get the job done in this one.