Fresno State vs Oregon State Prediction 9/6/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Fresno State vs Oregon State Prediction for this College Football Week 2 game on Saturday, September 6th at the Folsom Field. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Oregon State Beavers Preview

The Beavers are coming off a 15-34 home defeat by California in their season opener. Oregon State got outgained by their opponents by 356-313 yards. They had 22/34 completed passes, 248 passing yards, 65 rushing yards, with turnovers being 2-0. The Beavers went 3-11 in third down efficiency and had 3-20 penalties.

Maalik Murphy had 21/33 passes, a team-high 244 passing yards but also threw one interception and lost one fumble. Anthony Hankerson added a team-high 42 rushing yards and one touchdown, while Trent Walker caught 9 passes for 136 yards. Defensively, Skyler Thomas had eight total tackles, six of them solo, while Takari Hickle and Kai Wallin had one sack each. The Beavers did not have any interceptions in this game.

Fresno State Bulldogs Preview

The Bulldogs are coming off a 42-14 home victory over Georgia Southern in their season opener. Fresno State outgained their opponents by 527-242 yards. They had 20/27 completed passes, 176 passing yards, 351 rushing yards, with turnovers being 3-1. The Bulldogs went 6-10 in third down efficiency and had 2-25 penalties.

E.J. Warner had 20/27 passes, a team-high 176 passing yards but also threw two interceptions. Bryson Donelson added a team-high 167 rushing yards and one touchdown, while Jayon Farrar caught 3 passes for 39 yards. Defensively, Jadon Pearson had six total tackles, two of them solo, while Fresno State did not record any sacks. The Bulldogs did not have any interceptions in this game.

Why the Oregon State Beavers will win

• Oregon State has won each of its last 11 September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Fresno State has lost each of its last six games as an underdog.
• Oregon State has covered the spread in 10 of its last 11 September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six September games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Oregon State has won the first half in five of its last six games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference at Reser Stadium.

Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

• Oregon State has lost each of its last seven games against non-conference opponents.
• Fresno State has won five of its last six September road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Oregon State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Fresno State has covered the spread in six of its last seven road games against opponents from the Pac-12 Conference.
• Oregon State has lost the first half in four of its last five games against non-conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of Fresno State’s last nine September games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Oregon State’s last four games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Oregon State ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).
• Oregon State ranks T131st among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (-14.0).
• Fresno State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
• Fresno State ranks 5th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (42).

Fresno State vs Oregon State Prediction

In their only previous meeting back in 2022, Oregon State won 35-32 on the road, not covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.

In this Fresno State vs Oregon State Prediction, Oregon State is coming in as -3-point home favorites, with the total set at 48 points. Both teams are coming off completely opposite outcomes in their season openers, as the Bulldogs are coming off a 28-point victory and the Beavers off a 19-point defeat. Fresno State was positive against the spread last season, while Oregon State was just 4-3 at home and very ineffective against the spread, with a 4-8 ATS last season. I like how Fresno State looked in their first game of the season, and I like them as small road dogs in this one. Take the Fresno State Bulldogs by +3 points.