Florida vs Miami (FL) Prediction 9/20/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Florida vs Miami Prediction for this College Football Week 4 game on Saturday, September 20th at the Hard Rock Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Miami Hurricanes Preview

Miami has a 3-0 record this season and are coming off a 49-12 home victory over South Florida. They have a 3-0 home record, 0-0 away record, and they are 2-1 ATS and 2-1 in over/under. Offensively, the Hurricanes average 40.3 points per game, which ranks 30th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 13.0 points per game, which ranks 26th in the nation. Miami averages 486.0 total yards per game, with 179.3 rushing yards and 306.7 passing yards per game. They allow 279.0 total yards per game, 75.0 of them rushing and 204.0 passing yards per game.

Carson Beck leads the Hurricanes with 65/82 completed passes and 812 total passing yards. He also adds 26 rushing yards and 1 touchdown. Mark Fletcher Jr. leads the team in rushing yards, with 272 and 4 touchdowns, while CharMar Brown adds 126 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. Malachi Toney has a team-high 18 caught passes for a team-high 228 receiving yards, and has 1 touchdown. CJ Daniels has caught 14 passes for 175 yards, and 3 touchdowns.

Defensively, Rueben Bain Jr. has a team-high 15 total tackles, 7 of them solo, and 1.5 total sacks. Bryce Fitzgerald adds 2 total tackles, 1 of them solo and 2 interceptions. Akheem Mesidor leads the Hurricanes in sacks, with 2.0, while Bryce Fitzgerald has a team-high 2 total interceptions.

Florida Gators Preview

Florida has a 1-2 record this season. Offensively, the Gators average 27.0 points per game, which ranks 78th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 12.7 points per game, which ranks 24th in the nation. Florida averages 390.7 total yards per game, with 137.3 rushing yards and 253.3 passing yards per game. They allow 264.3 total yards per game, 87.0 of them rushing and 177.3 passing yards per game.

DJ Lagway leads Florida with 71/100 completed passes and 629 total passing yards. He also adds 31 rushing yards. Jadan Baugh leads the team in rushing yards, with 243 and 1 touchdown, while Jakobi Jackson adds 59 rushing yards. Vernell Brown III has a team-high 16 caught passes for a team-high 197 receiving yards. Hayden Hansen has caught 13 passes for 117 yards, and 1 touchdown.

Defensively, Myles Graham has a team-high 17 total tackles, 11 of them solo. Dijon Johnson adds 4 total tackles, 4 of them solo and 1 interception. Tyreak Sapp leads Florida in sacks, with 1.0, while Dijon Johnson has a team-high 1 total interceptions.

Florida Gators @ Miami Hurricanes Betting Trends: Week 4

Miami Hurricanes Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 4, CJ Daniels leads the Atlantic Coast Conference for receiving touchdowns (3) this season.

Florida Gators Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 4, Jadan Baugh ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Miami (FL) has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 35+ points of any FBS team this season (2).
• Miami (FL) has recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of five points or less of any FBS team this season (1).
• Florida ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
• Florida has won the first quarter in each of its last five games – equal-longest active streak in the FBS.

Florida vs Miami Prediction

In their previous meeting last season, Miami won 41-17 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went over the point total. Both teams are tied 2-2 wins in their four meetings, but Miami has covered the spread in all four games, with the under being 3-1.

In this Florida vs Miami Prediction, Miami is coming as -7.5-point home favorites. Miami has been undefeated this season, and are playing their 4th straight game at home. On the flip side, Florida has back-to-back losses, and have not covered the spread in either, playing their second consecutive game on the road. I like the hosts to dominate this one, much like last season, where they won by 24 points on the road. Take Miami and lay the -7.5 points at home.