Cal Poly vs San José State Prediction 9/12/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate a Cal Poly vs San Jose State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 12th at CEFCU Stadium in San Jose, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 2 matchup. 

Cal Poly Mustangs Betting Preview

The Cal Poly Mustangs are 2-0 this season after they defeated Central Washington by a score of 24-17 last week. Cal Poly led 17-7 at halftime and 24-7 after the third, but they were outscored 10-0 in the fourth quarter in the win. The Mustangs were out gained by a total of 430-384, went 5-11 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Anthony Grigsby Jr threw for 204 yards and three touchdowns, while Ray Hall caught five passes for 125 yards and two scores. Jaden Green rushed 13 times for 94 yards in the win. 

Prior to that win, Cal Poly defeated Idaho by a score of 38-34 in week zero. The Mustangs led 21-10 at halftime, but they trailed 34-31 in the fourth, before scoring with nine seconds left for the win. Anthony Grigsby Jr threw for 319 yards and four touchdowns, while Tayvion McCoy caught 10 passes for 170 yards and one score. Jaden Green rushed 15 times for 71 yards in the victory. 

San Jose State Spartans Betting Preview

The San Jose State Spartans are 1-1 this year after they defeated Eastern Michigan by a score of 27-21 last week. San Jose State led 10-7 at halftime, but they trailed 21-17 in the fourth, before scoring the last 10 points to escape with the win. The Spartans out gained EMU by a total of 453-281, went 5-16 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Luke Weaver threw for 316 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, while Cooper Hoch had five receptions for 115 yards and two scores. Jabari Bates rushed 20 times for 119 yards in the win. 

Prior to that win, San Jose State lost to USC by a score of 42-26 in week zero. The Spartans trailed 28-0 at halftime and 35-3 after three quarters, but they scored 23 points in the fourth to make it a two possession game. Luke Weaver threw for 234 yards and two touchdowns, while Carson Clark caught six passes for 74 yards. Weaver also led the ground game with eight rushes for 42 yards and one score in the loss. 

Why the San Jose State Spartans will win

• San Jose State has won each of its last six games against non-FBS teams.
• San Jose State has covered the spread in five of its last six September games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win

• San Jose State has lost three of its last four games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• San Jose State has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games as a favorite.

Total Points Facts

• Five of San Jose State’s last six games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

San Jose State Spartans Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 2, Jabari Bates has the most rushing yards without a rushing touchdown this season (156).

Matchup/League Facts

• San Jose State ranks T8th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (38).
• San Jose State ranks 11th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (16.5).

Cal Poly vs San Jose State Prediction 

San Jose State was able to play a very good fourth quarter against USC in week zero and they carried that momentum into last week, where they picked up a road win against EMU. The Spartans have a solid QB with Weaver and the defense didn’t allow a point in the second half last week. Cal Poly is 2-0 with a good win against Idaho, but this is going to be a tough assignment. I think we could see plenty of points in this one, as Cal Poly as scored 62 points in two games, so I like the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 56.5