Ball State vs Ohio Prediction College Football Picks 11/29/24

The Ball State Cardinals and the Ohio Bobcats meet Friday in college football action from Peden Stadium. Here’s a Ball State vs Ohio prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Ball State vs Ohio pick. We will examine:

The Ball State Cardinals’ recent form and player performance

The Ohio Bobcats’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Ball State Cardinals

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Ohio Bobcats

Recent betting trends in games played between Ball State and Ohio

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Ball State vs Ohio game

Ball State Cardinals Betting Preview

The Cardinals got off to a rough start this year, losing four of their first five games versus Miami, Central Michigan, James Madison, and Western Michigan. Ball State went 2-3 over the next five outings with losses to Vanderbilt, Miami-OH, and Buffalo.

On Saturday versus Bowling Green, Ball State was down by just three points at the break. The Cardinals were outscored 28-6 from there, however, and lost 38-13. Kadin Semonza threw for 211 yards and two scores, while Vaughn Pemberton led a lackluster rush on 29 yards from five totes.

Ohio Bobcats Betting Preview

Over on the Bobcats’ side, they were 4-2 over their first six with wins over South Alabama, Morgan State, Akron, and Central Michigan. After a loss to Miami-OH, Ohio took out Buffalo, Kent State, Eastern Michigan, and Toledo in the next four.

Matched up against Toledo last Wednesday, the Bobcats scored 17 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to secure a 24-7 victory. Parker Navarro logged 129 pass yards with an interception and two rush TDs. Anthony Tyus had 125 rush yards and a score on 33 carries.

Why the Ohio Bobcats will win

• Ohio has won each of its last 10 November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Ball State has lost each of its last four November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Ohio has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 games in November.

Why the Ball State Cardinals will win

• Ball State has covered the spread in each of its last seven November games as a road underdog.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of Ohio’s last eight games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Fourteen of Ball State’s last 17 November games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Ball State vs Ohio Prediction

I’ll lean toward Ohio. The Bobcats took a while to get going on offense in the Toledo game, but their D more than made up for it. Ohio gave up just 212 total yards (173 passing), 4.2 yards per play, and nine first downs in the win, bagging three takeaways (all fumbles) along the way. On offense, it was the rush game (238 yards) that did most of the work. It was the lowest points total during this four-game stretch, though (35 or more in the other three).

As for Ball State, on Saturday they managed just 254 yards (211 passing) on Bowling Green while giving up 362 (259 passing) on the other side. The Cardinals have been below 22 points in three of their last five games for a 1-4 stretch in the record books. If Ohio can keep Ball State in check like that on Saturday the Bobcats should have the cover.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Ohio Bobcats -14