Arkansas State vs Arkansas Prediction 9/6/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article we will formulate an Arkansas State vs Arkansas prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 6th at War Memorial Stadium in Little Rock, Arkansas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 2 matchup. 

Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview

The Arkansas State Red Wolves are 1-0 this season after they defeated Southeast Missouri State by a score of 42-24 in week one. Arkansas State actually trailed 10-7 in the second quarter, but they scored the next 21 points to lead 28-10 at the half. The Red Wolves extended their lead to 42-10 in the fourth, before allowing two late scores to make it look closer than it was. Arkansas State out gained SEMO by a total of 497-365, went 5-11 on third down, and tied the turnover battle at one. Jaylen Raynor went 26-32 for 345 yards and three touchdowns, while Kenyon Clay carried the ball 15 times for 41 yards and a score. Chauncy Cobb caught five passes for 85 yards in the win. The Arkansas State defense was led by Nigel Nelson, who recorded 10 tackles, while the team had three sacks and six tackles for loss. 

Arkansas State started the game relatively slow, but they dominated the second and third quarters for the easy win. The Red Wolves do need to work on protecting the football, as they fumbled three times, but they did only lose one. Arkansas State has a very good quarterback in Jaylen Raynor, but he will be tested in this contest. 

Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview

The Arkansas Razorbacks are 1-0 this year after they defeated Alabama A&M by a score of 52-7 in their first game. Arkansas allowed the tying score in the first quarter, but they led 10-7 after one and 31-7 at the half. The Razorbacks scored 14 points in the third quarter and cruised to the win in the fourth, as they scored the last 45 points in the game. Arkansas out gained A&M by a total of 552-235, went 9-14 on third down conversions, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-0. Taylen Green went 24-31 for 322 yards and six touchdowns, while Mike Washington rushed nine times for 79 yards and O’Mega Blake caught seven passes for 121 yards and one score. The Arkansas defense was led by Dix Jr, Smalls, and Neal, who all had four tackles in the game, while the unit had two sacks and six tackles for loss. 

Arkansas had a very easy day at the office to open their season and we really didn’t learn much about them in the process. I do think Green is a solid option at quarterback, but if the run game is taken away, I am curious to see how he does as a passer against a better defense. 

Why Arkansas will beat Arkansas State

Arkansas has won nine of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Arkansas State has lost each of its last five road openers.
Arkansas has covered the spread in four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams at War Memorial Stadium (Arkansas).
Arkansas State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three road games against opponents from the Southeastern Conference.

Why Arkansas State will beat Arkansas

Arkansas State has won each of its last four September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Arkansas State has covered the spread in eight of its last nine September games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Arkansas has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last 10 games as a favorite.

Total Points Facts

Seven of Arkansas’ last eight September games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Four of Arkansas State’s last five road openers as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

Arkansas ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
Arkansas ranks T1st among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (0.0).
Arkansas State ranks T11th among FBS teams for average point differential in second quarters this season (+18.0).
Arkansas State ranks 12th among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (345.0).

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Arkansas State vs Arkansas Prediction

Both of these teams picked up blowout wins in week one and will look to get to 2-0 here. Arkansas is a heavy favorite coming into this matchup, but their defense could have some issues against an Arkansas State team that likes to push the ball downfield. On the other side, I fully expect Arkansas’ run game to find openings, while Green will hit them with a few deep passes. I think we are going to see plenty of scoring in this game, so I am taking the over here.