Arkansas State vs Appalachian State Prediction 11/29/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Arkansas State vs Appalachian State Prediction for this College Football Week 14 game on Saturday, November 29th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.

Appalachian State Mountaineers Preview

Appalachian State has a 5-6 record this season and is sitting 6th in the Sun Belt. They are 4-6 ATS, 5-5 in Over/Under and have a 2-2 home record and a 1-4 away record. Appalachian State is coming off a 26-24 home win against Marshall.

Offensively, Appalachian State averages 25.0 points per game, ranking 85th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 29.8 points per game, which is 106th. Appalachian State averages 377.5 total yards per game (261.2 passing and 116.4 rushing), while allowing 411.9 total yards per game (143.8 rushing and 268.1 passing).

AJ Swann leads Appalachian State with 1,495 passing yards with 58.6% completed passes and 10 touchdowns. Rashod Dubinion leads the team in rushing yards with 828, while Jaden Barnes has a team-high 55 receptions for 608 receiving yards. Defensively, Colton Phares has a team-high 82 total tackles (34 of them solo), while Aiden Benton leads the team in sacks, with 4, and Colton Phares, Zyeir Gamble, DJ Burks, Elijah Mc-Cantos have a team-high 2 interceptions each.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Preview

Arkansas State has a 5-5 record this season and is sitting 4th in the Sun Belt. They are 7-3 ATS, 2-8 in Over/Under and have a 3-2 home record and a 2-3 away record. Arkansas State is coming off a 30-34 home loss against Louisiana.

Offensively, Arkansas State averages 23.9 points per game, ranking 94th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 27.2 points per game, which is 83rd. Arkansas State averages 378.9 total yards per game (247.5 passing and 131.4 rushing), while allowing 411.3 total yards per game (178.2 rushing and 233.1 passing).

Jaylen Raynor leads Arkansas State with 2,710 passing yards with 67.1% completed passes and 13 touchdowns. Kenyon Clay leads the team in rushing yards with 418, while Chauncy Cobb has a team-high 64 receptions for 650 receiving yards. Defensively, Aaron Alexander has a team-high 72 total tackles (26 of them solo), while Eathan Hassler leads the team in sacks, with 6, and Avante Dickerson has a team-high 2 interceptions.

Arkansas State Red Wolves @ Appalachian State Mountaineers Betting Trends: Week 14

Why the Appalachian State Mountaineers will win

• Appalachian State has won 17 of its last 18 home games in November.
• Arkansas State has lost 18 of its last 24 road games against conference opponents.
• Appalachian State has covered the spread in five of its last six home games in November.

Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win

• The underdog has won five of Arkansas State’s last six games.
• Appalachian State has lost four of its last five games.
• The underdog has covered the spread in each of Arkansas State’s last six games.
• Appalachian State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last nine November games as a favorite.
• Appalachian State has lost the first half in each of its last four games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Arkansas State’s last seven games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Appalachian State’s last six November games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Appalachian State Mountaineers Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 14, JJ Kohl ranks T11th in the league for TD:INT ratio (5.00) this season.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 14, Chauncy Cobb has the most receptions without a receiving touchdown this season (64).

Matchup/League Facts

• Appalachian State ranks 131st among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (268.1).
• Appalachian State ranks 127th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (251).
• Arkansas State ranks T132nd among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (10.0).
• Arkansas State ranks T131st among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (2.7).

Arkansas State vs Appalachian State Prediction

In this Arkansas State vs Appalachian State Prediction, Appalachian State is coming as -2.5-point home favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records as both have 5 wins each so far and they also have similar home/away splits. Arkansas State is coming into this matchup in better form, as they are 4-1 in their last 5 games, while on the other hand, App State has four consecutive losses. On top of that, Arkansas State has been 7-3 against the spread this season and I expect them to keep this one close. Take Arkansas State and the +2.5 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Arkansas State +2.5