Alabama vs Florida State Prediction 8/30/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Alabama Crimson Tide and the Florida State Seminoles meet in week 1 college football action from Doak Campbell Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Florida State Seminoles prediction.

Alabama Crimson Tide Team Preview

The Alabama Crimson Tide will be out to bounce back from what was a disappointing year by their standards, finishing with an overall record of 9-4 including 5-3 in SEC play in year one under Kalen DeBoer. Alabama would fall short in the ReliaQuest Bowl, losing to Michigan 19-13. Ty Simpson finally gets the keys to the car but the leash is likely short for Simpson with Austin Mack waiting in the wings for his chance if Simpson can’t get it done. Jam Miller is back after rushing for 668 yards and 7 TDs last year while Ryan Williams is back as one of the premier receivers in the country, logging 48 receptions and 8 touchdowns along with over 18 yards per catch. Germie Bernard had a 50-reception season and Isaiah Horton transfers in from Miami as a home run hitter. On defense, Deontae Lawson will be one of Alabama’s studs after recording 76 tackles overall and 6.5 TFLs.

Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win

• The favorite has won each of Florida State’s last nine games.
• Florida State has lost each of its last eight games as an underdog.
• Alabama has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 season openers.
• Florida State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games against non-conference opponents.

Florida State Seminoles Team Preview

The Florida State Seminoles come into the 2025 season hoping to forget about 2024 and leave it in the rear view after finishing 2-10 overall and 1-7 in ACC play. Thomas Castellanos should provide some stability at QB for FSU, and also ran for over 1,100 yards and 13 touchdowns a couple of seasons ago. Duce Robinson and Squirrel White come in via the transfer portal to bolster Florida State’s receiving group, while Roydell Williams, Kam Davis and Samuel Singleton will be the three-pronged attack for Florida State out of the backfield. On defense, Darrell Jackson is back on the nose for the ‘Noles, while Shyheim Brown and KJ Kirkland hold down the secondary after Brown led Florida State with 70 total tackles.

Why the Florida State Seminoles will win

• Florida State has won 25 of its last 30 games against non-conference opponents at Doak Campbell Stadium.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of Florida State’s last eight games in Florida have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of Alabama’s last seven games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Florida State Seminoles Prediction

I’m on Alabama in this one. I think that Alabama is the better team, and while I expect more from Florida State after a horrible 2024, I think this is just a bad spot for an opener. Thomas Castellanos kind of shot his mouth off about Alabama in the preseason, and while I can appreciate the confidence, I think Alabama’s the wrong team to do that against and they’ll make sure you remember what you said. I think the Tide have a solid edge on the lines, and I think Alabama gets it done here. Give me Alabama laying the points here.