Alabama State vs Troy Prediction 9/12/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

The Alabama State Hornets and the Troy Trojans meet Saturday in college football action from Troy University Veterans Memorial Stadium in Troy. Here’s an Alabama State vs Troy prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Alabama State vs Troy pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Alabama State Hornets Betting Preview

The Hornets took on Southern U in their opener this year. In that one Alabama State put up points in every quarter during a 30-17 win. QB Andrew Body had 192 yards and a score on 14-of-23 passing while Randall King led the receivers on four grabs for 77 yards and a TD. Jamari Hostzclaw rushed 15 times for 49 yards and a touchdown.

In game two versus Lane, the Hornets scored double-digit points in both the second and fourth quarters during a 34-0 blowout shutout win. QB Andrew Body was 10-of-14 for 113 yards, one TD and one pick while Jamarie Hostzclaw had seven carries for 40 yards and a touchdown. John Austin’s 32-yard catch put him atop the receivers.

Troy Trojans Betting Preview

Over on the Troy side, they had their ups and downs in 2025. The Trojans powered out an 8-6 overall record with a nice 6-2 run in Sun Belt games. Troy ended up winning the West Division but lost the championship game versus James Madison 31-14. The Trojans made the Salute to Veterans Bowl, where they lost to Jacksonville State by a score of 17-13.

Matched up against Sam Houston on Saturday the Trojans scored in all four quarters (and gave up points in three of them) during a tight 24-21 win. QB Will Crowder was 12-of-24 for 165 yards and three scores while Gavin Griffin had 16 carries for 81 yards. TK Keyes had two catches for 48 yards and a TD.

Alabama State Hornets @ Troy Trojans Betting Trends: Week 2

Troy Trojans Player Prop Facts

• Heading into Week 2, Fabian Rogosch ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• One of Troy’s one games this season have been decided by a margin of three points or less – equal-most amongst FBS teams.
• Troy ranks T1st among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (100.0).

Alabama State vs Troy Prediction

I’ll stick with Troy I suppose. The Trojans barely got by Sam Houston over the weekend, giving up 335 passing yards and 22 first downs along the way. It wasn’t the most explosive offensive outing either, especially on the passing side (165 yards). Still, Troy did bag 177 rush yards and 5.2 yards per play—with zero turnovers.

As for Alabama State, they beat up on Lane in their win last weekend, giving up just 182 yards, 3.0 yards per play and 14 first downs alongside a pair of takeaways. Alabama State had just 128 passing yards, 13 first downs and a tepid 5-of-11 success rate on third-down tries, though. It won’t get any easier this weekend.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Troy Trojans -22.5