Air Force vs UNLV Prediction 10/11/2025 Today’s College Football Picks

The Air Force Falcons and the UNLV Rebels meet Saturday in college football action from Allegiant Stadium. Here’s an Air Force vs UNLV prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Air Force vs UNLV pick. We will examine:

The Air Force Falcons recent form and player performance

The UNLV Rebels recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Air Force Falcons

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UNLV Rebels

Recent betting trends in games played between Air Force and UNLV

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Air Force vs UNLV game

Air Force Falcons Betting Preview

The Falcons scored very well through their first four games of the season but were only able to muster a losing run at 1-3 overall. Air Force kicked things off with a 49-13 win over Bucknell, then fell 49-30 versus Utah State. Game three was another loss to Boise State 49-37, then came a 44-35 defeat at the hands of Hawaii. In the loss to the Warriors, Air Force managed to give up 14-of-19 on third downs and a whopping 457 passing yards to the opposition.

In their Saturday game versus Navy, the Falcons were up 7-3 after the first quarter but quickly fell behind after a 14-3 second. The game ended up being close, but Air Force fell just short in a 34-31 result. QB Liam Szarka finished 11-of-19 for 212 yards and two touchdowns, while also leading the rush with 25 carries for 152 yards and two more scores. Leading the receivers was Bruin Fleischmann with six grabs for 166 yards and one touchdown in the loss.

UNLV Rebels Betting Preview

Over on the UNLV side, they had a decidedly better run through their first four games, emerging unscathed from that quartet. The Rebels powered past Idaho State 38-31 in the opener, then beat Sam Houston 38-21 in game two. UNLV notched another one-score win 30-23 versus UCLA, then got another tight victory 41-38 versus Miami-OH. In the win over the RedHawks, the Rebels offense posted 515 yards (222 rushing) with 6.0 yards per play, 30 first downs and 12-of-17 on third-down tries. The defense came up with three takeaways as well.

Matched up against Wyoming last weekend, the Rebels were up 24-3 by the end of the first half. UNLV was outscored 14-7 the rest of the way but still pulled off the victory 31-17 in the end. QB Anthony Colandrea logged 102 yards with a TD on 11-of-20 passing. Jai’Den Thomas added 16 carries for 96 yards as the top rusher, and Jaden Bradley paced the receivers on five catches for 65 yards.

Air Force Falcons @ UNLV Rebels Betting Trends: Week 7

UNLV Rebels Player Prop Facts

Heading into Week 7, Aamaris Brown ranks T2nd amongst FBS players for interceptions (4) this season.

Air Force Falcons Player Prop Facts

Heading into Week 7, Cade Harris is one of only two players averaging over 20.0 rushing yards and 60.0 receiving yards per game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

UNLV is one of eight FBS teams to score 30+ points in every game this season.
UNLV ranks T126th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (271.2).
Air Force ranks 134th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (12.2).
Air Force ranks 134th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (312.4).

Air Force vs UNLV Prediction

I’ll take a stab on Air Force. That said, you could make an argument either way. The Falcons offense was able to keep pace with a good Navy team last weekend, generating 460 yards, 211 rush yards, 7.1 yards per play, 23 first downs and 7-of-13 on third-down tries. The defense gave up 517 yards total, most of it through the air (339 yards). The Midshipmen also converted a couple of fourth-down tries to keep drives going. Air Force has 30 or more points in every game this season; they’re just allowing much more on the other side.

As for UNLV, they put up 255 yards (102 passing), 4.3 yards per play, 15 first downs and just 5-of-13 on third-down tries in their win over Wyoming. The defense was great in that one with three takeaways and 3-of-12 allowed on third downs. The Rebels are really going to have to push on defense in order to slow Air Force down, but I think this one will end up being a fairly high-scoring game on both sides.