Texas Tech vs Arkansas Prediction College Football Picks 12/27/24

Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview

The Arkansas Razorbacks are 6-6 (3-5) this year after they lost to Missouri by a score of 28-21 in their last game. Arkansas led 14-7 in the third quarter, but they were outscored 21-7 the rest of the way for the loss. The Razorbacks outgained Missouri by a total of 377-361, lost the turnover battle 2-0, and went 3-11 on third down in the game. Taylen Green threw for 229 yards on 21 completions, while Andrew Armstrong caught nine passes for 128 yards in the game.

Arkansas also has losses against Texas, Ole Miss, LSU, Texas A&M, and Oklahoma State, while picking up wins against Louisiana Tech, Mississippi State, Tennessee, Auburn, UAB, and Arkansas Pine-Bluff. The Arkansas offense has scored 30.3 points per game with 269.2 passing yards and 181.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 24.9 points per game this season. Taylen Green has completed 60.8% of his passes for 2,813 yards, 13 touchdowns, and nine interceptions this year. Arkansas is dealing with a lot of players opting out and they only have six scholarship offensive linemen right now, so that is going to be a big potential issue. 

Why Arkansas will beat Texas Tech

• Arkansas has won seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Arkansas has covered the spread in six of its last eight games played at neutral venues.

Why Texas Tech will beat Arkansas

• Texas Tech has won each of its last three games as an underdog at neutral venues.
• Arkansas has lost three of its last four games in December.
• Texas Tech has covered the spread in each of its last four games against non-conference opponents at neutral venues.
• Arkansas has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last nine games as a favorite.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Arkansas' last six games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Texas Tech's last five games at neutral venues has gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Arkansas ranks T19th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (5.3).
• Arkansas ranks T22nd among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (269.1).
• Texas Tech ranks 3rd among FBS teams for points per game this season (38.6).
• Texas Tech ranks 131st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (11.1).

Texas Tech vs Arkansas Prediction 

Texas Tech comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they scored 52+ points in their last two, but they will be without their starting quarterback here. The Red Raiders should have their starting running back, but the passing game is a question mark. On the other hand, Arkansas is expected to have Green under center, but he is missing a good chunk of his offensive line and some players with starting skill positions. Both teams have plenty of questions surrounding this game, but I do think we are going to see some points, as the Texas Tech defense was not good this year. Take the over here.