Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Prediction College Football Picks 11/30/24

The Tennessee Volunteers and the Vanderbilt Commodores meet Saturday in college football action from FirstBank Stadium. Here’s a Tennessee vs Vanderbilt prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Tennessee vs Vanderbilt pick. We will examine:

The Tennessee Volunteers’ recent form and player performance

The Vanderbilt Commodores’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Tennessee Volunteers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Vanderbilt Commodores

Recent betting trends in games played between Tennessee and Vanderbilt

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Tennessee vs Vanderbilt game

Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview

Tennessee’s season began on a winning streak versus Chattanooga, NC State, Kent State, and Oklahoma before falling to Arkansas. The Volunteers beat Florida, Alabama, Kentucky, and Mississippi State before another loss to Georgia.

In their game with UTEP over the weekend, the Vols started a bit slowly in the first quarter but eventually bombed in double-digit points in the next pair for a 56-0 shutout win. Nico Iamaleava logged 209 yards with four TDs, and Dylan Sampson led the rush with 77 yards and a score off 11 carries.

Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview

Over on the Vanderbilt side, they hit a 5-2 run out of the gate with wins over Virginia Tech, Alcorn State, Alabama, Kentucky, and Ball State. The Commodores would beat Auburn between losses to Texas and South Carolina in the next trio.

Matched up against LSU on Saturday, the Commodores gave up points in every quarter during a close 24-17 loss. Diago Pavia threw for 186 yards and a TD while also leading the rush on 43 yards and another score. Lead receiver Quincy Skinner had 72 yards and a TD off three catches.

Why the Vanderbilt Commodores will win

• The home team has won eight of Tennessee’s last nine games.
• Tennessee has lost four of its last six November games as a road favorite.
• The team ranked 7th in the AP Poll has failed to cover the spread in 10 of its last 11 games.
• The underdog has covered the spread in eight of Vanderbilt’s last nine games.

Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win

• Vanderbilt has lost 30 of its last 31 games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
• Tennessee has won each of its last six November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The road team has covered the spread in six of the last seven games between Tennessee and Vanderbilt.
• Vanderbilt has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five November games at FirstBank Stadium.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of Vanderbilt’s last nine November games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of Tennessee’s last 10 November games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Prediction

I’ll stay with Tennessee. The Vols are coming off a lopsided win over a struggling UTEP squad, mustering 460 yards (241 rushing), 6.8 yards per play, and 26 first downs in the process. Tennessee gave up just 230 yards (149 passing) on the other side. The 56 points were the Volunteers’ highest total since September 14 (71 versus Kent State) and a nice turnaround after a tough loss to Georgia the week before.

As for Vanderbilt, they posted just 13 first downs and a 2-of-10 rate on third-down tries in their latest loss to LSU. The Commodores have been at 17 or fewer points in three straight games and probably won’t breach that threshold in this one either. The only real question here is the margin of the Volunteers’ victory. I think Tennessee ends the regular season with a bang.