Auburn vs Alabama Prediction College Football Picks 11/30/24

Alabama (8-3) vs Auburn (5-6)

Game Info: Saturday, November 30, 2024 at 3:30 pm (Bryant-Denny Stadium)

Betting Odds: Alabama -11.5 / Auburn +11.5 --- Over/Under: 52.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article, we will formulate an Auburn vs Alabama prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 30th at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 14 matchup. 

Auburn Tigers Betting Preview

The Auburn Tigers are 5-6 (2-5) this year after they defeated Texas A&M in four overtimes by a score of 43-41 in their last game. Auburn blew a 21-0 lead in the game, but they got a field goal late in the game to force overtime, before winning on two-point conversions in the fourth OT. The Tigers outgained Texas A&M by a total of 469-464, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 5-14 on third down in the game. Payton Thorne threw for 301 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Jarquez Hunter rushed for 130 yards and three scores. 

Prior to that win, the Tigers defeated ULM by a score of 48-14 but did lose to Vanderbilt before that. The Auburn offense has scored 31 points per game with 260.5 passing yards and 171.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 20.7 points per game this season. Payton Thorne has completed 63.4% of his passes for 2,412 yards, 20 touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while Jarquez Hunter has rushed for 1,145 yards and eight scores. 

Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 8-3 (4-3) this season after they lost to Oklahoma by a score of 24-3 in their last game. Alabama led 3-0 after the first quarter, but they couldn’t find any more points in the upset loss. The Crimson Tide were outgained by a total of 328-234, lost the turnover battle 3-1, and went 7-14 on third down in the game. Jalen Milroe threw for 164 yards and three interceptions, while Germie Bernard caught four passes for 60 yards in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Crimson Tide won three games in a row against Mercer, LSU, and Missouri. The Alabama offense has scored 36.2 points per game with 238.6 passing yards and 181 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 17.5 points per game this season. Jalen Milroe has completed 65% of his passes for 2,396 yards, 15 touchdowns, and nine interceptions, while also rushing for 615 yards and 17 scores. 

Why Alabama will beat Auburn

  • Alabama has won each of its last 11 games at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
  • Auburn has lost each of its last seven road games against AP-ranked teams.
  • Auburn has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five November road games against AP-ranked teams.
  • The team ranked 13th in the AP Poll has covered the spread in each of its last four games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Auburn's last four games after coming off overtime has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of Alabama's last four November games at Bryant-Denny Stadium has gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Alabama ranks 7th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (2.0).
  • Alabama ranks 8th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (9.5).
  • Auburn ranks 116th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (27:36).
  • Auburn ranks 19th among FBS teams for red zone percentage against this season (75.8).

Auburn vs Alabama Prediction 

Auburn comes into this game after picking up a huge upset win over Texas A&M last week and they will look to get bowl-eligible with a win here. The Tigers have had a disappointing season, but they could change that with a win in this big rivalry game. Alabama is coming off of a bad loss against Oklahoma and they can’t afford to lose this game. The Crimson Tide only scored three points in their game last week and will face a decent Auburn defense here. I do think Auburn will keep it close in the first half, but I expect Alabama to pull away in the second half to get back on track. 

David’s Pick Alabama -11.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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