Sam Houston State (8-3) vs Liberty (8-2)
Game Info: Friday, November 29, 2024 at 3:30 pm (Elliot T. Bowers Stadium)
Betting Odds: Sam Houston State +2.5 / Liberty -2.5 --- Over/Under: 47 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Liberty Flames and the Sam Houston Bearkats meet in week 14 college football action from Elliott T. Bowers Stadium on Friday afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Liberty vs. Sam Houston prediction.
Liberty Recap
The Liberty Flames come into this one looking to finish strong after picking up a 38-21 win over Western Kentucky last time out to improve to 8-2 on the year.
Flames Win 3rd Straight
Kaidon Salter leads the Flames with 1,803 passing yards, 14 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions on 59.7% passing while Quinton Cooley has rushed for 1,164 yards and 13 touchdowns. Salter’s added 564 rushing yards with 6 scores and Billy Lucas has added 604 rushing yards with 5 TDs as well. Treon Sibley has a team-high 477 receiving yards with 2 touchdowns while Elijah Canion has 334 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns. Tyson Mobley also has 264 receiving yards on the year and Reese Smith has 215 receiving yards and 3 TDs for Liberty as well. On defense, Joseph Carter leads the Flames with 78 total tackles while TJ Bush Jr. has a team-high 5.5 sacks on the year. Amarian Williams also has a team-high 3 interceptions. As a unit, Liberty’s defense has combined for 17 sacks and 7 interceptions so far this season.
Why the Liberty Flames will win
- Liberty has won each of its last seven games in November.
- Sam Houston State has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games.
Sam Houston Recap
The Sam Houston Bearkats come into this game looking to rebound from a 21-11 loss at the hands of Jacksonville State last time out to drop to 8-3 on the year.
Bearkats Looking To Rebound
Hunter Watson has thrown for 1,396 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions on 60.5% passing while also rushing for 590 yards and 7 touchdowns. Jay Ducker has 623 rushing yards and 7 TDs and DJ McKinney’s chipped in 479 rushing yards as well on the year. Simeon Evans leads Sam Houston with 37 receptions for 391 yards and 3 TDs while Qua’Vez Humphreys has 362 receiving yards and 4 scores. On defense, Caleb Weaver has a team-high 81 total tackles including 59 solo tackles and 4 interceptions while Chris Murray has a team-high 5.5 sacks. As a unit, Sam Houston’s defense has combined for 23 sacks and 10 interceptions as well on the year.
Why the Sam Houston State Bearkats will win
- Sam Houston State has won five of its last six games at Bowers Stadium.
- Liberty has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games as a road favorite.
- The underdog has covered the spread in four of Sam Houston State's last five games.
Liberty vs. Sam Houston Prediction
I’m on Liberty here. Normally a home dog, on senior night with the world to play for with a spot in the conference title game hanging in the balance would keep me interested, but the problem with the Bearkats is that the offense has fallen off of a cliff over the last month or so. Liberty is a team I’ve felt has been overrated all season long, but there’s no denying what the Flames have done over the last few weeks to have all of the momentum coming into this game. Give me the Flames here.
Chris’s Pick Liberty -2.5
AUTHOR: Chris Ruffolo
Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg