Missouri vs Mississippi State Prediction College Football Picks 11/23/24

Mississippi State (2-8) vs Missouri (7-3)

Game Info: Saturday, November 23, 2024 at 4:15 pm (Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field)

Betting Odds: Mississippi State +7.5 / Missouri -7.5 --- Over/Under: 56.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Missouri Tigers and Mississippi State Bulldogs meet Saturday in week 13 college football action at Davis Wade Stadium. Here’s a Missouri vs Mississippi State Prediction. This article will include a Missouri vs Mississippi State Pick.

Missouri Tigers Betting Preview

The Missouri Tigers beat Oklahoma, lost to South Carolina, and they play Arkansas next. The Missouri Tigers have lost 3 of their last 4 road games. Brady Cook is completing 63.5 percent of his passes for 1,812 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Theo Wease Jr. and Luther Burden III have combined for 1,211 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Mookie Cooper has 12 receptions.

The Missouri Tigers ground game is averaging 165.2 yards per contest, and Nate Noel leads the way with 684 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Missouri is allowing 20 points and 311.6 yards per game. Corey Flagg Jr. leads the Missouri Tigers with 66 tackles, Johnny Walker Jr. has 5.5 sacks and Dreyden Norwood has 2 interceptions.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs beat UMass, lost to Tennessee, and they play Ole Miss next. Mississippi State has lost 4 of its last 5 home games. Blake Shapen is completing 68.5 percent of his passes for 974 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Kevin Coleman Jr. and Mario Craver have combined for 1,124 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Seydou Traore has 29 receptions.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 146.9 yards per contest, and Davon Booth leads the way with 597 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Mississippi State is allowing 34.4 points and 461.2 yards per game. Isaac Smith leads the Mississippi State Bulldogs with 101 tackles, Branden Jennings has 1.5 sacks and Elijah Cannon has 1 interception.

Why the Missouri Tigers will win

  • Mississippi State has lost each of its last eight home games against conference opponents.
  • Missouri has won each of its last 14 games as a favorite.
  • Mississippi State has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 games as a home underdog.
  • Missouri has covered the spread in each of its last five road games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Mississippi State's last six games against non-AP-ranked teams at Davis Wade Stadium has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of Missouri's last four games in November has gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Mississippi State ranks 129th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (21.3).
  • Mississippi State ranks 128th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (460.7).
  • Missouri ranks 18th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (311.6).
  • Missouri ranks 18th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (32:01).

Missouri vs Mississippi State Prediction

The Missouri Tigers are clearly the better team that's had a tough schedule, but I'm not comfortable laying big chalk with them given the inconsistent play. Missouri just lost to South Carolina, was shut out by Alabama, and was embarrassed earlier in the season by Texas A&M. You're never sure which Missouri team is going to show up week to week. The Mississippi State Bulldogs have issues of their own, but it's also senior night for a roster that has 24 seniors. The hook could be key for us. Give me the points with Mississippi State.

Randy’s Pick Mississippi State +7.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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