Virginia vs Notre Dame Prediction College Football Picks 11/16/24

Notre Dame (7-1) vs Virginia (4-4)

Game Info: Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 3:30 pm (Notre Dame Stadium)

Betting Odds: Notre Dame -22.5 / Virginia +22.5 --- Over/Under: 50.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Virginia Cavaliers and Notre Dame Fighting Irish meet Saturday in week 12 college football action at Entertainment & Sports Arena. Here’s a Virginia vs Notre Dame Prediction. This article will include a Virginia vs Notre Dame Pick.

Virginia Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Virginia Cavaliers lost to North Carolina, beat Pittsburgh, and they play SMU next. The Virginia Cavaliers have won 3 of their last 4 road games. Anthony Colandrea is completing 63.2 percent of his passes for 1,948 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. Malachi Fields and Tyler Neville have combined for 990 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Trell Harris has 13 receptions.

The Virginia Cavaliers ground game is averaging 143.8 yards per contest, and Kobe Pace leads the way with 442 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Virginia is allowing 26.7 points and 395.8 yards per game. Jonas Sanker leads the Virginia Cavaliers with 69 tackles, Kam Robinson has 4 sacks and Chico Bennett Jr. has 1 interception.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Preview

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish beat Navy and Florida State, and they play Army next. The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have won 4 straight home games. Riley Leonard is completing 64.4 percent of his passes for 1,575 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Beaux Collins and Jaden Greathouse have combined for 684 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Jeremiyah Love has 17 receptions.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish ground game is averaging 214.8 yards per contest, and Leonard leads the way with 609 yards and 13 touchdowns. Defensively, Notre Dame is allowing 11.1 points and 274.6 yards per game. Jack Kiser leads the Notre Dame Fighting Irish with 49 tackles, Rylie Mills has 6 sacks and Xavier Watts has 3 interceptions.

Why the Notre Dame Fighting Irish will win

  • Notre Dame has won each of its last 13 November games at Notre Dame Stadium.
  • Virginia has lost 15 of its last 16 November games as a road underdog.
  • Notre Dame has covered the spread in each of its last nine home games in November.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Notre Dame's last seven November games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Six of Virginia's last seven road games in November have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Notre Dame ranks 2nd among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (148.6).
  • Notre Dame ranks 3rd among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (11.1).
  • Virginia ranks 116th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (8.3).
  • Virginia ranks T116th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (91.4).

Virginia vs Notre Dame Prediction

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are obviously the better team and could blow the doors off, but this line is disrespectful toward Virginia. The Virginia Cavaliers don't do anything extremely well on either side of the ball, but they find ways to compete and cover numbers. Virginia is 3-0 ATS as an underdog this season and has covered 10 of its last 12 games as an underdog overall. Virginia just went into Pitt and pulled an upset. An upset likely isn't in the cards here, but more than three touchdowns? Give me the Cavs.

Randy’s Pick Virginia +22.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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