Florida (4-4) vs LSU (6-2)
Game Info: Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 3:30 pm (Ben Hill Griffin Stadium)
Betting Odds: Florida +4.5 / LSU -4.5 --- Over/Under: 54.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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In this article, we will formulate an LSU vs Florida prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 16th at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 12 matchup.
LSU Tigers Betting Preview
The LSU Tigers are 6-3 (3-2) this year after they lost to Alabama by a score of 42-13 in their last game. LSU cut the deficit to 14-6 in the second quarter, but they allowed the next 28 points for the loss. The Tigers were outgained by a total of 420-343, lost the turnover battle 3-0, and went 6-14 on third down in the game. Garrett Nussmeier threw for 239 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while Kyren Lacy caught five passes for 79 yards and one score.
Prior to that game, the Tigers lost to Texas A&M by a score of 38-23 but did win the six games before that. The LSU offense has scored 30.6 points per game with 322.3 passing yards and 114 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 24.9 points per game this season. Garrett Nussmeier has completed 62.7% of his passes for 2,866 yards, 21 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, while Kyren Lacy has caught 46 passes for 697 yards and seven scores.
Florida Gators Betting Preview
The Florida Gators are 4-5 (2-4) this season after they lost to Texas by a score of 49-17 in their last game. Florida allowed the first 42 points in the game and they never had a chance in this matchup. The Gators were outgained by a total of 562-329, lost the turnover battle 3-1, and went 6-14 on third down in the game. Aidan Warner threw for 132 yards and two interceptions, while Ja’Kobi Jackson rushed for 116 yards and one score.
Prior to that loss, the Gators lost to Georgia by a score of 34-20 but did beat Kentucky by a score of 48-20 before that. The Florida offense has scored 28.1 points per game with 232.2 passing yards and 151.1 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 27.6 points per game this season. DJ Lagway (questionable) has completed 60.9% of his passes for 1,071 yards, six touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Jadan Baugh has rushed for 411 yards and six scores.
Why LSU will cover
- LSU has won 22 of its last 23 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Florida has lost each of its last eight games against AP-ranked teams.
- Florida has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six November games at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
- LSU has covered the spread in four of its last five November games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last six games between LSU and Florida has gone OVER the total points line.
- Twelve of LSU's last 15 games against conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Florida ranks T117th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (202).
- Florida ranks 109th among FBS teams for average point differential in third quarters this season (-2.6).
- LSU ranks T14th among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage this season (35.7).
- LSU ranks T19th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (216).
LSU vs Florida Prediction
Florida comes into this matchup trying to bounce back from their blowout loss against Texas last week, but it really depends on the health of their starting quarterback. If Lagway can play, it is possible they can take advantage of this LSU secondary, but if he is out, the offense is going to struggle. LSU has dropped two games in a row to Alabama and Texas A&M, but they have a great passing attack and should find success here. This game is tough to call without knowing the quarterback situation for Florida, so I will take LSU on the road.
David’s Pick LSU -4.5
AUTHOR: David Racey
