Boise State vs San Jose State Prediction College Football Picks 11/16/24

San Jose State Spartans Betting Preview

The San Jose State Spartans are 6-3 (3-2) this season after they defeated Oregon State by a score of 24-13 in their last game. San Jose State was tied at 10 at the half and they trailed 13-10 in the fourth, but they scored the last 14 points in the game for the win. The Spartans were outgained by a total of 474-463, won the turnover battle 3-1, and went 4-9 on third down in the game. Walker Eget threw for 395 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Nick Nash caught six passes for 161 yards and one score. 

Prior to that game, the Spartans lost to Fresno State by a score of 33-10 but did beat Wyoming by a score of 24-14 before that. The SJSU offense has scored 28.8 points per game with 332.3 passing yards and 94.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 24.1 points per game this season. Walker Eget has completed 56.4% of his passes for 1,312 yards, three touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Nick Nash has caught 86 passes for 1,156 yards and 13 scores. 

Why San Jose State will cover

• San Jose State has won nine of its last 10 home games against conference opponents.
• The underdog has covered the spread in three of the last four games between Boise State and San Jose State.

Total Points Facts

• Five of Boise State's last six road games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of San Jose State's last five games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• San Jose State ranks 130th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (25:56).
• San Jose State ranks 126th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (94.6).
• Boise State ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (13.1).
• Boise State ranks 2nd among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (268.6).

Boise State vs San Jose State Prediction 

Boise State comes into this matchup looking to get closer to the College Football Playoff, but they need to play better, as beating Nevada by only seven points is not a good look. The Broncos have rolled through their schedule pretty easily but will be on the road here. San Jose State has alternated wins and losses through their last five games, but they are 4-0 at home this season. The Spartans need to stop the Boise State rushing attack, as Madsen is just an average quarterback in the passing game. I think the Broncos will get the win once again, but I am taking San Jose State to keep it close.