Liberty vs Middle Tennessee Prediction College Football Picks 11/9/24

Middle Tennessee (3-6) vs Liberty (5-2)

Game Info: Saturday, November 9, 2024 at 1:00 pm (Johnny (Red) Floyd Stadium)

Betting Odds: Middle Tennessee +11 / Liberty -11 --- Over/Under: 54.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: CBSSN Stream live sports and exclusive originals on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

In this article, we will formulate a Liberty vs Middle Tennessee prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 9th at Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro, Tennessee. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 11 matchup. 

Liberty Flames Betting Preview

The Liberty Flames are 5-2 (3-2) this year after they lost to Jacksonville State by a score of 31-21 last week. Liberty was tied 14 at the half, but they allowed 10 points in the third quarter and never recovered. The Flames were outgained by a total of 459-421, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 6-14 on third down in the game. Kaidon Salter threw for 147 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Quinton Cooley rushed for 133 yards and one score. 

Prior to that game, the Flames lost to Kennesaw State by a score of 27-24, but they did win their first five games of the season. The Liberty offense has scored 31.1 points per game with 205.6 passing yards and 229.7 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 23.4 points per game this season. Kaidon Salter has completed 59.2% of his passes for 1,427 yards, 11 touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Quinton Cooley has rushed for 715 yards and seven scores. 

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Betting Preview

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders are 3-6 (2-3) this season after they defeated UTEP by a score of 20-13 in their last game. Middle Tennessee was tied 10 at halftime and they trailed 13-10 in the third, but they scored the final 10 points in the game for the win. The Blue Raiders outgained UTEP by a total of 333-305, lost the turnover battle 3-1, and went 3-13 on third down in the game. Nicholas Vattiato threw for 239 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while Myles Butler caught five passes for 101 yards and one score. 

Prior to that win, the Blue Raiders lost to Jacksonville State by a score of 42-20 but did beat Kennesaw State by a score of 14-5 before that. The MTSU offense has scored 17.9 points per game with 259.7 passing yards and 78.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 33.7 points per game this season. Nicholas Vattiato has completed 63.8% of his passes for 2,296 yards, 10 touchdowns, and seven interceptions, while Omari Kelly has caught 48 passes for 811 yards and three scores. 

Why Liberty will cover

  • The favorite has won each of Middle Tennessee's last seven games at Johnny Floyd Stadium.
  • Middle Tennessee has lost nine of its last 10 games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Middle Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five home games.
  • The favorite has covered the spread in six of Middle Tennessee's last eight games.

Total Points Facts

  • Four of Middle Tennessee's last five home games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Three of Liberty's last four games as a road favorite have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Middle Tennessee ranks 133rd among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (65.4).
  • Middle Tennessee ranks 132nd among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (3.6).
  • Liberty ranks 9th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (228.6).
  • Liberty ranks 10th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+5.1).

Liberty vs Middle Tennessee Prediction 

Liberty comes into this matchup trying to snap a two-game losing streak and they have quickly fallen out of control in the C-USA standings. The Flames have had a very easy schedule this season, but the loss to Kennesaw State two weeks ago came out of nowhere. Middle Tennessee has won two of their last three games, but they are allowing over 33 points per game this year. I don’t trust this Middle Tennessee defense against any team that is average or better, so give me Liberty on the road here. 

David’s Pick Liberty -11

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss