Massachusetts vs Mississippi State Prediction College Football Picks 11/2/24

Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 1-7 (0-5) this year after they lost to Arkansas by a score of 58-25 in their last game. Mississippi State trailed 31-10 at the half and they never got within two scores in the second half. The Bulldogs were outgained by a total of 673-471, lost the turnover battle 5-1, and went 5-13 on third down in the game. Michael Van Buren Jr. threw for 309 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Davon Booth rushed for 93 yards in the loss.

Mississippi State has also lost to Texas A&M, Georgia, Texas, Florida, Toledo, and Arizona State during this seven-game losing streak. The Mississippi State offense has scored 27.1 points per game with 259.4 passing yards and 131.1 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 36.4 points per game this season. The Bulldogs have gone 39.8% on third down and 15-27 on fourth down through eight games. Michael Van Buren Jr. has completed 57.2% of his passes for 1,101 yards, eight touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Kevin Coleman Jr. has caught 52 passes for 636 yards and five scores. 

Why Mississippi State will cover

• Massachusetts has lost 26 of its last 27 road games against non-conference opponents.
• Mississippi State has won 12 of its last 13 games against non-conference opponents at Davis Wade Stadium.
• Mississippi State has covered the spread in six of its last eight November games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Massachusetts has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games as an underdog.
• Massachusetts has lost the first half in each of its last four games against opponents from the Southeastern Conference.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Mississippi State's last five games against non-AP-ranked teams at Davis Wade Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of Massachusetts' last eight November games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Mississippi State ranks 130th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (22.9).
• Mississippi State ranks 130th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (477.5).
• Massachusetts ranks T128th among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (2.1).
• Massachusetts ranks T127th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (9.4).

Massachusetts vs Mississippi State Prediction 

Mississippi State comes into this matchup on a seven-game losing streak, but they should bounce back here against a bad UMass team. The Bulldogs have actually played decently well over the last month or so, but they have had a very difficult schedule. Massachusetts just lost to Missouri by a score of 45-3 and I think we are going to see a similar score here. I expect Mississippi State to score early and often, as they take advantage of a bad opponent. Take Mississippi State here.