Hawaii vs Fresno State Prediction College Football Picks 11/2/24

Fresno State (5-3) vs Hawaii (3-5)

Game Info: Saturday, November 2, 2024 at 7:00 pm (Valley Children's Stadium)

Betting Odds: Fresno State -14 / Hawaii +14 --- Over/Under: 48.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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In this article, we will formulate a Hawaii vs Fresno State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 2nd at Valley Children’s Stadium in Fresno, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 10 matchup. 

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Betting Preview

The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors are 3-5 (1-2) this year after they defeated Nevada by a score of 34-13 in their last game. Hawaii led 17-0 at halftime and was never in danger of losing the game. The Rainbow Warriors outgained Nevada by a total of 395-380, won the turnover battle 2-1, and went 6-13 on third down in the game. Brayden Schager threw for 153 yards and one interception, while also rushing for 120 yards and four scores. 

Hawaii had lost their previous three games against Washington State, Boise State, and San Diego State. The Hawaii offense has scored 21.5 points per game with 243.3 passing yards and 103.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22.3 points per game this season. The Rainbow Warriors have gone 36.4% on third down and 6-13 on fourth down so far this season. Brayden Schager has completed 60.5% of his passes for 1,941 yards, 13 touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while Pofele Ashlock has caught 46 passes for 491 yards. 

Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Fresno State Bulldogs are 5-3 (3-1) this season after they defeated San Jose State by a score of 33-10 last week. Fresno State led 20-7 at halftime and they were able to coast to the big victory. The Bulldogs outgained SJSU by a total of 401-385, won the turnover battle 4-1, and went 12-19 on third down in the win. Mikey Keene threw for 275 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, while Jalen Moss caught six passes for 85 yards and two scores. 

Fresno State defeated Nevada by a score of 24-21 in the game prior to San Jose State, but they lost to Washington State and UNLV before that. The Fresno State offense has scored 28.8 points per game with 261.3 passing yards and 117.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 24.5 points per game this season. The Bulldogs have gone 40.7% on third down and 7-13 on fourth down through eight games. Mikey Keene has completed 67.4% of his passes for 2,041 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions, while Mac Dalena has caught 35 passes for 692 yards and five scores. 

Why Hawaii will cover

  • Fresno State has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games.

Total Points Facts

  • Five of Fresno State's last six games against conference opponents at Valley Children's Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Four of Hawaii's last five games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Fresno State ranks 126th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (10.1).
  • Fresno State ranks T12th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (2.9).
  • Hawaii ranks T122nd among FBS teams for 4th down conversion percentage against this season (71.4).
  • Hawaii ranks 117th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (4.8).

Hawaii vs Fresno State Prediction 

Fresno State comes into this matchup on a two-game winning streak and they are still alive in the race for the Mountain West. The Bulldogs have losses against Michigan, UNLV, and Washington State this season, so they have not had a bad loss so far. Hawaii has lost three of their last four games and they have not won on the road so far this year. The Rainbow Warriors looked very strong on the ground against Nevada, but this is a huge step up in competition. I do think Fresno State will get the win, but I think this is too many points against a Hawaii team that has battled for the most part this season. Take Hawaii and the points. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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