Texas Tech vs TCU Prediction College Football Picks 10/26/24

The Texas Tech Red Raiders and TCU Horned Frogs meet Saturday in week 9 college football action at Amon G. Carter Stadium. Here’s a Texas Tech vs TCU Prediction. This article will include a Texas Tech vs TCU Pick.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview

The Texas Tech Red Raiders beat Arizona, lost to Baylor, and they play Iowa State next. Texas Tech has lost 5 of its last 8 road games. Behren Morton is completing 63.7 percent of his passes for 1,926 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Josh Kelly and Caleb Douglas have combined for 1,009 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Coy Eakin has 22 receptions.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders ground game is averaging 167.3 yards per contest, and Tahj Brooks leads the way with 804 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas Tech is allowing 36.1 points and 466.6 yards per game. Jacob Rodriguez leads the Texas Tech Red Raiders with 66 tackles, Isaac Smith has 1 sack and Chapman Lewis has 2 interceptions.

TCU Horned Frogs Betting Preview

The TCU Horned Frogs lost to Houston, beat Utah, and they play Baylor next. TCU Horned Frogs have split their last 10 home games. Josh Hoover is completing 66.4 percent of his passes for 2,270 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Jack Bech and JP Richardson have combined for 1,133 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Eric McAlister has 18 receptions.

The TCU Horned Frogs ground game is averaging 100.4 yards per contest, and Cam Cook leads the way with 349 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, TCU is allowing 27.4 points and 325.9 yards per game. Johnny Hodges leads the TCU Horned Frogs with 50 tackles, Namdi Obiazor has 2.5 sacks and Tymon Mitchell has 1 interception.

Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win

• TCU has won four of its last five home games in October.
• Texas Tech has lost three of its last four October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The home team has covered the spread in four of the last five games between Texas Tech and TCU.
• Texas Tech has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games in October.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of TCU’s last nine October games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of Texas Tech’s last eight road games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• TCU ranks 125th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (100.4).
• TCU ranks T10th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (161.7).
• Texas Tech ranks T5th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (11.4).
• Texas Tech ranks 129th among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (466.6).

Texas Tech vs TCU Prediction

The TCU Horned Frogs had defensive issues earlier in the season, and now the offense has taken a step backward. TCU has scored a combined 32 points in its last two games. TCU is also 2-5 ATS on the season and has failed to cover each of its last 5 games as a favorite. TCU has outright lost its last 3 games as a favorite. The Texas Tech Red Raiders have major defensive issues of their own, but the offensive firepower to make this a game is there. With a top-20 scoring offense, this won’t be an easy game for the Horned Frogs. Give me the points with the Red Raiders.