Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State Prediction College Football Picks 10/23/24

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and the Jacksonville State Gamecocks meet Wednesday in college football action from AmFirst Stadium. Here’s a Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State pick. We will examine:

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders’ recent form and player performance

The Jacksonville State Gamecocks’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Recent betting trends in games played between Middle Tennessee and Jacksonville State

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State game

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Betting Preview

The Raiders’ season started out with a nice 32-25 win over Tennessee Tech. Middle Tennessee would hit the skids after that, however, falling to Ole Miss, Western Kentucky, Duke, Memphis, and Louisiana Tech in the next five outings.

Middle Tennessee was able to get back into the win column during their last matchup with Kennesaw State. The Raiders posted a 7-3 second-half advantage in a 14-5 result. QB Nicholas Vattiato finished with 199 yards while Holden Willis caught eight balls for 92 yards.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks Betting Preview

Over on the Jacksonville State side, they lost their first three outings of the season to Coastal Carolina, Louisville, and Eastern Michigan. The Gamecocks would then pick up wins over Southern Miss and Kennesaw State in the next pair to move to 2-3 overall.

Jacksonville State was able to even up their record against New Mexico in their last outing on October 9. The Gamecocks scored 26 points in the second quarter alone during a 54-13 blowout. QB Tyler Huff logged 196 yards and two scores, while Tre Stewart ran for 118 yards and two touchdowns of his own.

Why the Jacksonville State Gamecocks will win

• Middle Tennessee has lost each of its last 10 games as an underdog.
• Jacksonville State has won each of its last four games in October.
• Jacksonville State has covered the spread in each of its last four games in October.
• Middle Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games as an underdog.

Why the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will win

• Middle Tennessee has covered the spread in three of its last four games in October.

Total Points Facts

• Five of Jacksonville State’s last six games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of Middle Tennessee’s last five October road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Jacksonville State ranks 126th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (19.5).
• Jacksonville State ranks 9th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (226.0).
• Middle Tennessee ranks 133rd among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (60.0).
• Middle Tennessee ranks 132nd among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (11.6).

Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Gamecocks. Jacksonville State did quite well on offense in their last outing versus New Mexico State, logging 530 total yards (334 rushing), 7.9 yards per play, and 28 first downs. On defense, the Gamecocks had three takeaways and gave up just 3-of-13 on third-down tries.

As for Middle Tennessee, they did well against a struggling Kennesaw State team in their last game, giving up 234 yards (103 passing) and 10 first downs. Jacksonville State will mark a significant uptick in competition, however, and I don’t quite think MTSU will keep pace.