SMU vs Stanford Prediction College Football Picks 10/19/24

Stanford (2-4) vs SMU (5-1)

Game Info: Saturday, October 19, 2024 at 8:00 pm (Stanford Stadium)

Betting Odds: Stanford +15.5 / SMU -15.5 --- Over/Under: 53.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The SMU Mustangs and Stanford Cardinal meet Saturday in week 8 college football action at Stanford Stadium. Here’s an SMU vs Stanford Prediction. This article will include an SMU vs Stanford Pick.

SMU Mustangs Betting Preview

The SMU Mustangs beat Florida State and Louisville, and they play Duke next. SMU has won 7 straight road games. Kevin Jennings is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 1,014 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 1 interception. RJ Maryland and Jake Bailey have combined for 518 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Key'Shawn Smith has 12 receptions.

The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 203 yards per contest, and Brashard Smith leads the way with 561 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, SMU is allowing 22.3 points and 336.2 yards per game. Kobe Wilson leads the SMU Mustangs with 41 tackles, Isaiah Smith has 2.5 sacks and Ahmaad Moses has 3 interceptions.

Stanford Cardinal Betting Preview

The Stanford Cardinal lost to Virginia Tech and Notre Dame, and they play Wake Forest next. Stanford has lost 9 of its last 10 home games. Ashton Daniels is completing 59.4 percent of his passes for 707 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Elic Ayomanor and Ismael Cisse have combined for 548 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Sam Roush has 14 receptions.

The Stanford Cardinal ground game is averaging 149.7 yards per contest, and Daniels leads the way with 292 yards on 64 carries. Defensively, Stanford is allowing 30.8 points and 378.3 yards per game. Tristan Sinclair leads the Stanford Cardinal with 42 tackles, David Bailey has 3 sacks and Collin Wright has 2 interceptions.

Why the SMU Mustangs will win

  • Stanford has lost each of its last 15 games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
  • SMU has won 15 of its last 16 games against conference opponents.
  • Stanford has failed to cover the spread in 14 of its last 15 games as an underdog against AP-ranked teams.
  • SMU has covered the spread in each of its last four October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • Stanford has lost the first half in seven of its last eight home games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Six of SMU's last seven October games as a favorite have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Five of Stanford's last six games against conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Stanford ranks 122nd among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (165.8).
  • Stanford ranks T119th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (5.0).
  • SMU ranks T11th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (23.3).
  • SMU ranks T13th among FBS teams for points per game this season (40.8).

SMU vs Stanford Prediction

The SMU Mustangs are far and away the better team, and they've proven they can win on the road with 7 straight wins. The Stanford Cardinal are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a double-digit underdog. Stanford has been a double-digit underdog twice this season and has lost those games by an average of 34 points. SMU is getting sharper and sharper offensively and has covered 3 straight games as well. The big number, especially for a road team, but SMU should comfortably get the job done. I'll lay the touchdowns with the Mustangs on the road. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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