Toledo vs Buffalo Prediction College Football Picks 10/12/24

The Toledo Rockets and Buffalo Bulls meet Saturday in week 7 college football action at UB Stadium. Here’s a Toledo vs Buffalo Prediction. This article will include a Toledo vs Buffalo Pick.

Toledo Rockets Betting Preview

The Toledo Rockets lost to Western Kentucky, beat Miami (OH), and they play Northern Illinois next. The Toledo Rockets have won 6 of their last 7 road games. Tucker Gleason is completing 63 percent of his passes for 1,180 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Jerjuan Newton and Junior Vandeross III have combined for 682 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Jacquez Stuart has 8 receptions.

The Toledo Rockets ground game is averaging 124.4 yards per contest, and Connor Walendzak leads the way with 175 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Toledo is allowing 19.2 points and 341 yards per game. Emmanuel McNeil-Warren leads the Toledo Rockets with 43 tackles, Darius Alexander has 2.5 sacks and Braden Awls has 3 interceptions.

Buffalo Bulls Betting Preview

The Buffalo Bulls beat Northern Illinois, lost to UCONN, and they play Western Michigan next. Buffalo has lost 5 of its last 8 home games. CJ Ogbonna is completing 51.9 percent of his passes for 624 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Victor Snow and JJ Jenkins have combined for 292 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Taji Johnson has 7 receptions.

The Buffalo Bulls ground game is averaging 120.6 yards per contest, and Jacqez Barksdale leads the way with 203 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 24.2 points and 366 yards per game. Shaun Dolac leads the Buffalo Bulls with 72 tackles, Kobe Stewart has 2.5 sacks and Charles McCartherens has 1 interception.

Why the Toledo Rockets will win

• Toledo has won each of its last six October games against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Buffalo has lost each of its last three home games against conference opponents.
• Buffalo has failed to cover the spread in five of its last six games as an underdog.
• Toledo has covered the spread in each of its last three October games against non-AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Buffalo’s last six games against non-AP-ranked teams at UB Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of Toledo’s last five games as a road favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Buffalo ranks 129th among FBS teams for yards per game this season (253.6).
• Buffalo ranks T129th among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (68).
• Toledo ranks T18th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (9.8).
• Toledo ranks T18th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (7.8).

Toledo vs Buffalo Prediction

The Buffalo Bulls aren’t a great team, and I’m not excited to get behind them, but they’re also 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog. The Toledo Rockets are the more talented team, but they also can’t run the ball, and their defense can’t stop the pass. Toledo is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games as a road favorite, and 3 of those failed covers were outright losses. Not my favorite game on the week 7 card, but I’ll take a shot with Buffalo and the free points.