Northern Illinois vs Bowling Green Prediction College Football Picks 10/12/24

The Northern Illinois Huskies and Bowling Green Falcons meet Saturday in week 7 college football action at Doyt L. Perry Stadium. Here’s a Northern Illinois vs Bowling Green Prediction. This article will include a Northern Illinois vs Bowling Green Pick.

Northern Illinois Huskies Betting Preview

The Northern Illinois Huskies lost to NC State, beat Massachusetts, and play Toledo next. Northern Illinois has split its last 8 road games. Ethan Hampton is completing 58.3 percent of his passes for 913 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Antario Brown and Grayson Barnes have combined for 351 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Cam Thompson has 9 receptions.

The Northern Illinois Huskies ground game is averaging 230.8 yards per contest, and Brown leads the way with 401 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Northern Illinois is allowing 19.2 points and 263.4 yards per game. Jaden Dolphin leads the Northern Illinois Huskies with 28 tackles, Nevaeh Sanders has 4 sacks and Amariyun Knighten has 1 interception.

Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview

The Bowling Green Falcons lost to Old Dominion, beat Akron, and play Kent State next. Bowling Green has won 4 of its last 7 home games. Connor Bazelak is completing 68.1 percent of his passes for 1,243 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Harold Fannin Jr. and Malcolm Johnson Jr. have combined for 879 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Jamal Johnson has 13 receptions.

The Bowling Green Falcons ground game is averaging 145.6 yards per contest, and Terion Stewart leads the way with 270 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Bowling Green is allowing 25.4 points and 380.2 yards per game. CJ Brown leads the Bowling Green Falcons with 30 tackles, Charles Rosser has 3.5 sacks and Jacorey Benjamin has 1 interception.

Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win

• Bowling Green has won five of its last six games in October.
• Northern Illinois has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games.
• Bowling Green has covered the spread in three of its last four games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Bowling Green’s last five October games as a home favorite has gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Northern Illinois’ last four road games against conference opponents has gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Bowling Green ranks T110th among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (8.6).
• Bowling Green ranks T26th among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (8.8).
• Northern Illinois ranks 10th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (230.8).
• Northern Illinois ranks T17th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (3.8).

Northern Illinois vs Bowling Green Prediction

The Northern Illinois Huskies have fizzled out since their monster upset win over Notre Dame, and it’s because their offense struggles through the air. Bowling Green doesn’t stop the run but playing a one-dimensional offense should help. The Bowling Green Falcons play their best ball at home, and they’ve covered 6 of their last 9 games overall. This should be an ugly, low-scoring game. I’ll still give the edge to Bowling Green and the small chalk.