Ohio State vs Oregon Prediction College Football Picks 10/12/24

In this article, we will formulate an Ohio State vs Oregon prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, October 12th at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, Oregon. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 7 matchup. 

Ohio State Buckeyes Betting Preview

The Ohio State Buckeyes are 5-0 (2-0) this year after they defeated Iowa by a score of 35-7 in their last game. Ohio State only led 7-0 at halftime, but they scored the first 28 points of the second half for an easy win. The Buckeyes outgained Iowa by a total of 412-226, won the turnover battle 3-2, and went 7-11 on third down in the game. Will Howard threw for 209 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception, while Jeremiah Smith caught four passes for 89 yards and one score. 

Ohio State has also defeated Akron, Western Michigan, Marshall, and Michigan State this season. The OSU offense has scored 46 points per game with 288 passing yards and 222.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 6.8 points per game this season. The Buckeyes have gone 51.7% on third down and 7-10 on fourth down so far this season. Will Howard has completed 71.5% of his passes for 1,248 yards, 12 touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Quinshon Judkins has rushed for 468 yards and five scores. 

Oregon Ducks Betting Preview

The Oregon Ducks are 5-0 (2-0) this season after they defeated Michigan State by a score of 31-10 in their last game. Oregon led 21-0 at the half and 31-0 in the fourth quarter, as they cruised to the easy win, despite some first-half turnover trouble. The Ducks outgained MSU by a total of 477-250, lost the turnover battle 2-1, and went 6-12 on third down in the game. Dillon Gabriel threw for 257 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Jordan James rushed for 166 yards and one score. 

Oregon has also defeated Idaho, Boise State, Oregon State, and UCLA this season. The Oregon offense has scored 35 points per game with 294.2 passing yards and 164.4 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 17 points per game this season. The Ducks have gone 49.2% on third down and 3-5 on fourth down through five games. Dillon Gabriel has completed 77.8% of his passes for 1,449 yards, 11 touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Jordan James has rushed for 552 yards and five scores. 

Why Oregon will cover

• Oregon has won each of its last 11 home games in October.
• Ohio State has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games as a favorite against AP-ranked teams.
• Oregon has covered the spread in each of its last four October games against AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Ohio State’s last five October games as a favorite has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of Oregon’s last four games against AP-ranked teams at Autzen Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Oregon ranks T12th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (75).
• Oregon ranks T13th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (12.8).
• Ohio State ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 opponent points per game this season (1.4).
• Ohio State ranks 1st among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (2.0).

Ohio State vs Oregon Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup with undefeated records and this matchup is huge for the Big Ten standings. Oregon will have the home-field advantage, but they have not been super impressive against some lower competition this season. Ohio State struggled in the first half against Iowa last week, but they have blown the doors off of all five of their opponents this season. I do think we are going to see plenty of points in this game with both teams having dynamic offenses, but I am going to take the points with Oregon at home in a game that could come down to the last possession.