Boise State vs Hawaii Prediction College Football Picks 10/12/24

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boise State Broncos

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

Recent betting trends in games played between Boise State and Hawaii

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Boise State vs Hawaii game

Boise State Broncos Betting Preview

Boise State was able to beat Georgia Southern 56-45 in their opener this year, then lost to Oregon 37-34 in game two. The next pair were both wins: 56-14 over Portland State and 45-24 versus Washington State.

Matched up against Utah State over the weekend, the Broncos scored 35 points in the second quarter alone on the way to a 62-30 victory. Maddux Madsen came up with 256 passing yards and three scores, completing 21 of his 25 attempts. Ashton Jeanty carried 13 times for 186 yards and three touchdowns.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Betting Preview

Over on the Hawaii side, they played Delaware State in their opener, winning 35-14. The Warriors would then take consecutive losses to UCLA 16-13 and Sam Houston 31-13 before a 36-7 win over Northern Iowa in game four.

In the San Diego State game over the weekend, Hawaii was down 20-13 by the break and couldn’t come back in a 27-24 loss. Brayden Schager posted 272 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. Pofele Ashlock caught eight balls for 77 yards and a TD.

Why the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will win

• The home team has won each of Boise State's last four games.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of Hawaii's last four games.
• The team ranked 17th in the AP Poll has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games.

Why the Boise State Broncos will win

• Boise State has won each of its last nine games as a favorite.
• Hawaii has lost eight of its last nine games in October.
• Boise State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games in October.
• Hawaii has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last 10 games against AP-ranked teams.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Boise State's last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams has gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of Hawaii's last six home games has gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Hawaii ranks 121st among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (93.6).
• Hawaii ranks T25th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (84).
• Boise State ranks 1st among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (15.2).
• Boise State ranks 2nd among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (28.4).

Boise State vs Hawaii Prediction

I’ll go with Boise State. The Broncos didn’t have a ton of issues with Utah State last weekend. In that one, Boise gained 599 total yards (303 passing), 8.1 yards per play, 27 first downs, and 7-of-13 on third-down tries. The Broncos have scored 45 or more points in three straight games, and 34 or more in all five this year.

As for Hawaii, they had their passing game working fairly well (272 yards) in the San Diego State loss, notching a pretty nice 8-of-14 on third downs and 24 first downs along the way. The seven penalties didn’t help, though. Hawaii has been below 25 points in three of their last four games so they’ll need to kick the offense into high gear on Saturday.