Memphis vs South Florida Prediction College Football Picks 10/11/24

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Memphis Tigers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the South Florida Bulls

Recent betting trends in games played between Memphis and South Florida

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Memphis vs South Florida game

Memphis Tigers Betting Preview

The Tigers got off to a nice 3-0 start this year. Those victories came 40-0 over North Alabama, 38-17 over Troy, and 20-12 versus Florida State. Memphis would take their first loss on September 21 versus Navy 56-44 in game four, however.

In their last matchup back on September 28, the Tigers took on Middle Tennessee. Memphis was up 14-0 by halftime and ended up winning 24-7 in the end. QB Seth Henigan finished on 227 yards, while Mario Anderson rushed 18 times for 118 yards and a score.

South Florida Bulls Betting Preview

Over on the South Florida side, they opened up the year on a 2-2 run over their first four outings. The Bulls beat Bethune-Cookman 48-3 before a 42-16 blowout loss versus Alabama. Next came a 49-24 win over Southern Miss and a 50-15 loss to Miami-FL.

In the Tulane game back on September 28, South Florida took another loss. The Bulls were down 31-7 by halftime and limped to a 45-10 blowout. QB Byrum Brown had 134 yards passing, while Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen had five catches for 84 yards.

Why the South Florida Bulls will win

• South Florida has won five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked teams at Raymond James Stadium.
• Memphis has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five October games as a road favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• South Florida has covered the spread in four of its last five games as an underdog against Memphis.

Why the Memphis Tigers will win

• South Florida has lost each of its last nine October games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
• Memphis has won 15 of its last 16 games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
• The favorite has covered the spread in four of South Florida's last five games.
• South Florida has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Memphis' last seven October games as a road favorite has gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of South Florida's last six October games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• South Florida ranks 128th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (9.8).
• South Florida ranks 126th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (289.4).
• Memphis ranks T11th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (13.0).
• Memphis ranks 17th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (7.6).

Memphis vs South Florida Prediction

I might take a stab at South Florida. Probably not touching it, though. The Bulls do need a good bounce-back effort here after the Tulane blowout. USF coughed up 528 yards (330 passing) in that one along with 30 first downs and 7.2 yards per play. South Florida gained just 201 yards themselves with 3.8 yards per play and two lost fumbles.

As for Memphis, they didn’t have much trouble with Middle Tennessee in their last outing, gaining 413 yards (227 passing) and 22 first downs in the win. South Florida needs to get their running game going if they’re going to stand a chance at covering here. The Bulls have just 88 combined yards on the ground over their last pair.