South Carolina vs Alabama Prediction College Football Picks 10/12/24

The South Carolina Gamecocks and the Alabama Crimson Tide meet Saturday in college football action from Bryant-Denny Stadium. Here’s a South Carolina vs Alabama prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best South Carolina vs Alabama pick. We will examine:

The South Carolina Gamecocks’ recent form and player performance

The Alabama Crimson Tide’s recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the South Carolina Gamecocks

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Alabama Crimson Tide

Recent betting trends in games played between South Carolina and Alabama

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the South Carolina vs Alabama game

South Carolina Gamecocks Betting Preview

The Gamecocks got off to a nice start this year with a pair of wins 23-19 over Old Dominion and 31-6 versus Kentucky. After a tough loss 36-33 to LSU on September 14, South Carolina managed a 50-7 blowout win over Akron in game four.

In the Ole Miss matchup last weekend, South Carolina fell behind 24-3 by halftime. The Gamecocks couldn’t gain any ground from there in a 27-3 blowout loss. LaNorris Sellers posted 162 passing yards and a pick while also leading the rush on 55 yards in the defeat.

Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview

Over on the Alabama side, they blew out Western Kentucky 63-0 in their opener, then beat South Florida handily 42-16. The Crimson Tide would keep it going with a 42-10 blowout win versus Wisconsin and a 41-34 victory over a great Georgia team in the next pair.

Matched up against Vanderbilt, Alabama was down 23-14 by halftime and ended up losing a shocker 40-35. Jalen Milroe threw for 310 passing yards, one TD, and one pick. Jamarion Miller led the rush with 45 yards and two scores, while Ryan Williams caught three balls for 82 yards and a TD.

Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win

• Alabama has won 36 of its last 37 games against conference opponents at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
• South Carolina has lost each of its last five games in October.
• Alabama has covered the spread in five of its last six games at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
• South Carolina has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games against AP-ranked teams.

Why the South Carolina Gamecocks will win

• South Carolina has covered the spread in each of its last seven road games against top-10 AP-ranked teams.
• The team ranked 7th in the AP Poll has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games.

Total Points Facts

• Six of Alabama’s last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of South Carolina’s last six games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• Alabama ranks 9th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (11.4).
• Alabama ranks T10th among FBS teams for H1 points per game this season (24.2).
• South Carolina ranks T21st among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (82).
• South Carolina ranks 22nd among FBS teams for yards allowed per game this season (296.8).

South Carolina vs Alabama Prediction

I’ll stay with Alabama. The Tide are coming off a rough road loss though, and they’ll need a good bounce-back effort this weekend. Alabama gave up 418 yards (252 passing), 26 first downs and a 12-of-18 clip on third-down tries to the Commodores last weekend. Offensively the Tide held the ball for just 17:52 and had a pair of turnovers. It was certainly an uncharacteristic performance.

As for South Carolina, they gained just 162 pass yards (313 total) in their loss to Ole Miss alongside eight penalties and two turnovers. The Gamecocks had scored 31 or more points in three straight games prior to that. This weekend against an angry Alabama team, points won’t be easy to come by. I don’t think the Gamecocks will keep pace.