Hawaii vs San Diego State Prediction College Football Picks 10/5/24

San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs are 1-3 (0-0) this season after they lost to Central Michigan by a score of 22-21 in their last game. San Diego State led 21-13 at halftime, but they didn’t score in the second half and allowed the game-winning field goal with five seconds left. The Aztecs were outgained by a total of 452-364, won the turnover battle 3-0, and went 7-15 on third down in the game. Danny O’Neil threw for 246 yards and two touchdowns, while Marquez Cooper rushed for 111 yards and one score on 34 carries. 

San Diego State also has losses against California and Oregon State, but they did beat Texas A&M-Commerce to start the season. The SDSU offense has scored 19 points per game with 183.3 passing yards and 138.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22 points per game this season. The Aztecs have gone 34.5% on third down and 4-10 on fourth down through four games. Danny O’Neil has completed 58.8% of his passes for 567 yards and four touchdowns, while Louis Brown IV has caught 16 passes for 309 yards and one score. 

Why Hawaii will cover

• San Diego State has lost four of its last five home games against conference opponents.
• San Diego State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five home games.
• Hawaii has covered the spread in three of its last four games against conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Twelve of San Diego State's last 13 October games as a home favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of Hawaii's last nine games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• San Diego State ranks T124th among FBS teams for Q2 points per game this season (3.5).
• San Diego State ranks 123rd among FBS teams for 1st downs this season (67).
• Hawaii ranks 120th among FBS teams for rushing yards per game this season (96.0).
• Hawaii ranks T16th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (65).

Hawaii vs San Diego State Prediction 

San Diego State had a great chance to pick up a road victory last week against Central Michigan, but they played really poorly on the offensive side of the ball in the second half. Both teams are looking for their first win against a FBS team this season, but the good news is that one team will get that win here. I do think San Diego State is the better team, but I am not laying points with a team that forgets how to score at times. Take Hawaii with the points here.