Oregon vs UCLA Prediction College Football Picks 9/28/24

UCLA (1-2) vs Oregon (3-0)

Game Info: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 11:00 pm (Rose Bowl)

Betting Odds: UCLA +24 / Oregon -24 --- Over/Under: 57.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Oregon Ducks and UCLA Bruins meet Saturday in week 5 college football action at the Rose Bowl. Here’s an Oregon vs UCLA Prediction. This article will include an Oregon vs UCLA Pick.

Oregon Ducks Betting Preview

The Oregon Ducks recently beat Boise State and Oregon State, and they play Michigan State next. Oregon looks for a third 4-0 start in the last 4 years. Dillon Gabriel is completing 84 percent of his passes for 914 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Tez Johnson and Terrance Ferguson have combined for 349 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Traeshon Holden has 10 receptions.

The Oregon Ducks ground game is averaging 152 yards per contest, and Jordan James leads the way with 283 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Oregon is allowing 20.7 points and 298.3 yards per game. Bryce Boettcher leads the Oregon Ducks with 25 tackles, Matayo Uiagalelei has 2 sacks and Brandon Johnson has 1 interception.

UCLA Bruins Betting Preview

The UCLA Bruins recently lost to Indiana and LSU, and they play Penn State next. UCLA has lost 3 straight home games. Ethan Garbers is completing 56.7 percent of his passes for 690 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Rico Flores Jr. and Moliki Matavao have combined for 245 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while T.J. Harden has 12 receptions.

The UCLA Bruins ground game is averaging 60.3 yards per contest, and Harden leads the way with 72 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, UCLA is allowing 29.7 points and 387.3 yards per game. Kain Medrano leads the UCLA Bruins with 21 tackles, Ale Kaho has 1 sack and D.J. Justice has 1 interception.

Why the Oregon Ducks will win

  • Oregon has won each of its last 18 September games against non-AP-ranked teams.
  • UCLA has lost four of its last five games against conference opponents.
  • UCLA has failed to cover the spread in each of its last four games as an underdog against top-10 AP-ranked teams.
  • Oregon has covered the spread in six of its last seven games in September.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of UCLA's last eight games as a home underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Three of Oregon's last four games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • UCLA ranks T125th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (3.0).
  • UCLA ranks 123rd among FBS teams for points per game this season (15.3).
  • Oregon ranks T18th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (2.3).
  • Oregon ranks T19th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (48).

Oregon vs UCLA Prediction

The Oregon Ducks are showing signs of putting things together after a couple of scares to start the season. The UCLA Bruins are a dreadful team that can't run the ball and can't score points. That's not ideal when going up against Oregon. The Oregon Ducks have covered 8 of their last 9 games when favorites of 20 or more points. While on paper, this felt like a great way to spend a late Saturday night. With the way both teams look heading into it, this could get ugly very quickly. UCLA hasn't shown any sort of life offensively. Give me Oregon in a beatdown. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

NFL Week 5 2024 Picks & Predictions | Picks From The DawgHouse NFL Edition

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